Open Question

The DOW stopped its recent downtrend mainly because the Fed was aggressive in
lowering rates. Nonetheless, the market has not responded greatly and has only
been able to get into a sideways trend. Do you see the downtrend resuming? and
if so, what support level you see that would need to break to confirm the
downtrend has restarted?

Asked by Luckyone581 6 months ago - 5 answers - 111 views
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I think the liquidity is really just starting to hit the market. Take a look at
LIBOR. We're in the bottom portion of the U. There will be some more downside,
but I believe we'll start to see some uptrend in the next 3-6 months. It's a
process.

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yes i think it continues; rates arent really the problem here. i think 1320
being broken on any decent volume or if it rips through it, confirms it for me.

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government intervention makes the problems worse

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There's nothing broken in the downtrend that I can see - bear market is fully
intact

http://stockcharts.com/charts/gallery.html?$SPX

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With all due respect, your first sentence is completely wrong.

I'm going to try again.

Although there are parallels with previous bear markets, the intervention of
governments in the markets is unparalleled: mortgage rate and foreclosure
freezes, panic Fed Funds rate cuts, TAFs, super-conduits, stimulus packages,
bailouts, and working groups only postpone the inevitable. It is a fallacy to
assume that Fed intervention (or *any* government intervention) can correct what
ails the economy and the stock market. In fact, government meddling is
exacerbating the problems and, *again*, will only postpone the inevitable
massive dislocation in the stock market.

The market is falling apart in front of our eyes. We are witnessing the most
violent boxing match in financial history, with hyperinflation in one corner,
and asset class deflation in the other.

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