What to plant in a drought...


All selections are US-listed.

I chose some for value and defensible market positions, like the airport operators in Mexico.

I chose some as a hedge against rising energy prices, such as Cameco and Petrobras.

I chose telcos and utilites in South America, with an emphasis on high operating leverage (you just can't stop EM electrification and the phones, even when the chips are down in the States).

A few consultancies are benefiting from government contract accumulation and restructuring assignments.

7/22/08 - Commodity exposure is limited. I believe oil will trend downward toward $100 through 2H08 and coal will follow. I also believe this is the last year of iron ore price increases, although I don't believe it will plummet in the '09 price renegotiation.

I plan to add some exposure to discounted mortgages and real estate assets, although finding this in listed equities is difficult to do from a diligence perspective unless the company has been formed recently to acquire assets.

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