google swap
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Created by tim
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:12-06-2006

eash year for the past few years I have made a list of what you can buy with googles market cap and what you get for your money. last year the list utperformed both the market and google. heres the list for this year. I can t seem to enter more than 20 symbols here so heres wht you could buy For the Google market cap of 149 billion,

Walter Industries (wlt)
Peb Boys (pby)
Petrohawk (hawk)
Finish Line (finl)
Optimal group (opmr)
Nashua (nsha)
Precision Drilling (pds)
First data (Fdc)
Borders (bgp)
Friendlys (frn)
New York times (nyt)
Consolidated energy (cnx)
Fording coal (fdg)
Ipass (ipas)
Kingsway Fiinancial (kfs)
ADC telecom (adct)
United online (untd)
chesapeake energy (chk)
applied materials (amat)
Nabor drilling(nbr)
Patterson UTI (pten)
radio Shack (rsh)
Giffon (gff)
micron (mu)
Hudson city bank (hcbk)
cbs (cbs)
Genlyte (gy)
pacific sunwear (psun)
rosetta resources (rose)
Mirant (mir)



Google has about 3.5 billion in operating earnings. The portfolio sports 16.5 billion or so in same. If google can continue to grow at 30% a year for 7 years their operating cash flow will surpass that of the portfolio..providing of course that the portfolio rate of return remians stagnant and none of the excess 13 billion of operating cash flow is reinvested at any reasonable rate . should the portfolio rate grow at the 10 % level..not unrealistic considering the amount of excess avaible for reinvestment, it takes google 10 years to surpass in operating cash flow. again assuming that they can grow at 30% for the 10 years and no one comes along with better or new technology and reduces their competitive advantage. Of course we all know that in the stable world of technology that is unlikely to happen.

this is on the open list because its very back of the envelope and the portfolio companies are picked because I know them, own them in one or more accounts and they all have one of more value charcterisitics.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • NBR
    Nabors Inds Inc N
  • $19.83
  • -5.75%
  • $20.86

No Analysis added

People owning NBR also tend to own: ESVHPRDCAMTDBNIGLWUNH

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • AMAT
    Applied Materials
  • $12.28
  • -1.60%
  • $12.38

No Analysis added

People owning AMAT also tend to own: ADPAVYAXPCLDDDELLDIS

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • CHK
    Chesapeake Energy
  • $23.03
  • -1.50%
  • $23.20

No Analysis added

People owning CHK also tend to own: ACIAINVANRAPCBBDBTUCMCSK

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • UNTD
    United Online
  • $7.27
  • +3.41%
  • $7.00

No Analysis added

People owning UNTD also tend to own: CHKCOPELOSKONGNBROPMRPDGI

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • ADCT
    Adc Telecommunica
  • $5.91
  • -10.99%
  • $5.55

No Analysis added

People owning ADCT also tend to own: AKAMALKSARAYARRSAVIDAVNXBEAS

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • KFS
    Kingsway Financia
  • $1.68
  • -1.18%
  • $1.72

No Analysis added

People owning KFS also tend to own: AIGAPABEBERCVSFISFL

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • IPAS
    Ipass Inc.
  • $1.22
  • +2.52%
  • $1.20

No Analysis added

People owning IPAS also tend to own: AAVABXAADGAMATAQRBGRBXL

TheStreet.com Rating: D- What is this?

  • +
  • CNX
    Cons Energy Inc
  • $46.00
  • -3.26%
  • $47.14

No Analysis added

People owning CNX also tend to own: AAVABXAADGAMATAQRBGRBXL

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

NBR 29.52 -32.83% Mar 12th
AMAT 18.52 -33.69% Mar 12th
CHK 29.76 -22.61% Mar 12th
UNTD 13.468 -46.02% Mar 12th
ADCT 16.35 -63.85% Mar 12th
KFS 18.60 -90.97% Mar 12th
IPAS 5.02 -75.70% Mar 12th
CNX 35.36 +30.09% Mar 12th
NYT 23.88 -63.78% Mar 12th
FRN 14.0852 +34.30% Mar 12th
BGR 27.3699 -13.08% Mar 12th
FDC 24.61 ------ Mar 12th
FDG 22.78 ------ Mar 12th
PDS 21.75 -68.55% Mar 12th
NSHA 8.79 ------ Mar 12th
OPMR 8.05 -73.04% Mar 12th
FINL 12.00 -20.92% Mar 12th
HAWK 12.20 +85.00% Mar 12th
PBY 15.30 -45.75% Mar 12th
WLT 24.39 +186.31% Mar 12th

Average return:

-18.53%

Success rate:

23.53%

Tracking Started: 03-12-2007

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