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Created by bfootmtnman
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Date updated:07-09-2007

First plunge into serious picks

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • NVS
    Novartis Ag Ads
  • $56.16
  • +1.01%
  • $56.15

The healthcare sector will benefit from demographics in the US as population ages. NVS is a pharma company with a broad portfolio of drugs and has a solid pipeline of new products on the way. I think this stock has been penalized recently. It is solid financially and even though the pharma market faces the potential for governments regulations in the US that will be aimed at squeezing margins, the demographics will still provide opportunities for sales and margin growth.

People owning NVS also tend to own: AAADPAVPBACBRK-BBUDCSCO

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • BAX
    Baxter Intl Inc
  • $55.22
  • +1.23%
  • $54.68

Another Healthcare play. I like BAX because it provides more than simply pharmaceuticals, it also provides the more mundane, basic supplies that medical facilities use on a daily basis which lessens it's dependence on developing new products. It offers diversification in it's product offerings. Financially, it has low debt and improving margins over the last 2 years.

People owning BAX also tend to own: BOBJDELLEBAYHANSJOYGRMIXSBUX

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • TMO
    Thermo Fisher Sci
  • $47.89
  • +1.40%
  • $47.61

Also healthcare, provides tools for bioscience companies. I see this as a way to profit from medical research by providing tools for research rather than taking on the actual risks associated with clinical research. It is still in the process of absorbing acquisitions, which should provide opportunities to reduce S, G, and A expenses to increase earnings per share. The stock is undervalued currently in my opinion.

People owning TMO also tend to own: AHMAIZALBAMPAVTAXCABBI

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • RAI
    Reynolds American
  • $50.84
  • +1.76%
  • $50.34

This is a consumer products play that provides an excellent dividend yield. It has excellent cash flow and financial strength and should hold up well if the overall equity market softens.

People owning RAI also tend to own: AAALLAPCBUDCOPCVXDOW

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • PCU
    Southern Copper C
  • $35.28
  • +1.26%
  • $35.43

This is a mining company that provides good dividend yields and which will benefit from increasing demand in China and India for copper. I select this also as a defensive play. It has had an significant upward trend in net margins and margin on equity over the past year. I am betting that demand will continue to increase for it's products enough to keep revenue growth going. Consolidation in the industry will provide pricing power to the producers and PCU will be one of the survivors in the consolidation wars in this industry.

People owning PCU also tend to own: DEBSDLXEXPOHRBKCPLENLIZ

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • CERN
    Cerner Corporatio
  • $76.62
  • +1.77%
  • $75.82

Ithis is an IT provider for healthcare providers that should be in position to capitalize on the move to electronic record keeping for medical providers. I believe that this is seen by legislators as the key to reducing the expenses associated with medical care in the US and that legislation and market forces will increase demand for their services.

People owning CERN also tend to own: AMZNGEINTCPFESUNHXOM

TheStreet.com Rating: B+ What is this?

  • +
  • ERF
    Enerplus Res Fd
  • $23.06
  • +0.65%
  • $22.97

This oil and gas investment trust has taken steps to secure additional sources of resources and plans to invest $415 M in 2007 to increase production. ERF has historically made very efficient use of capital and maintained superior operating margins. These factors should result in increased revenues and profits by year end, particularly if market prices increase. Increased worldwide demand for oil and gas should support higher prices. Dividend yield has been exceptional historically.

People owning ERF also tend to own: AOBASNBBCCEOHLXLONGPTEN

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • VOX
    Vangrd Tel Svc Et
  • $54.91
  • +1.99%
  • $54.34

FTF (Communications) The communications sector stands to benefit from improvements in wireless and wired technologies. Barriers to market entry are fairly significant. I like an ETF as an investment vehicle because of the level of competition in the market. Very hard to see who longer term winners and losers are going to be so why choose? I can also enter a trailing stop loss to prevent a major loss. Increasing bandwidth capacity will be needed in order to feed the wants and needs of technophobes. I also see a need the need for real time business data backup as a driver of growth in years to come.

People owning VOX also tend to own: BPTCOHDBAEVEPEWDEWMEWT

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

NVS 55.45 +1.28% Jun 24th
BAX 55.68 -0.83% Jun 24th
TMO 51.30 -6.65% Jun 24th
RAI 60.33 -15.73% Jun 24th
PCU 94.61 -62.71% Jun 24th
CERN 55.78 +37.36% Jun 24th
ERF 47.08 -51.02% Jul 1st
VOX 84.40 -34.94% Jul 9th
VAW 87.18 -21.95% Jul 9th
XLE 72.21 -20.27% Jul 9th

Average return:

-15.95%

Success rate:

20%

Deleted Stocks:

VPU 82.50 0.00% Jun 29th

Tracking Started: 06-24-2007

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12.02.09 | 20:58 PM Asked by skysurferj23

A. The beige book said that conditions had
"generally improved modestly".
There were positive signs, e.g. consumer
spending, used autos, etc. Even though
residential construction was weak, it
was reported to be improving.

How you trade this depends on whether
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half full. I think it's a mixed report
but if you're in a bull market, that
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This kind of mixed report, with both
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