Top Growth Surprises
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average rating: 3.57 / 19 ratings
Created by James Altucher
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:02-11-2007

These are stocks that I like that are:
- down over the past 52 weeks
- 20%+ growth is expected (and the company has a history of beating expectations)
- analysts have upped estimates in the past quarter

I also filtered to make sure that other good value funds were in the stocks. Additionally, I wanted PEG to be less than 2 so I was comfortable I was getting GARP - growth at a reasonable price

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • EBAY
    Ebay Inc.
  • $23.27
  • -0.30%
  • $23.22

Ebay exceeded or equaled analysts estimates in the past four quarters. Earnings are expected to grow from 1.05 a share in 2006 to 1.28 a share for 2007 and 1.51 a share in 2008. 30 days ago the average analyst consensus was 1.23. 19 analysts upped their projections to make the average 1.28. With 20% expected growth that puts them over double the expected growth of the market. With a forward P/E of 22 and a growth rate of 20, their PEG is 1.1,

People owning EBAY also tend to own: AAADPAVPBACBRK-BBUDCSCO

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • AMAT
    Applied Materials
  • $12.98
  • +4.68%
  • $12.65

Over the past 52 weeks the stock is down almost 10%. And yet, the company is expected to grow earnings 35% over this year. From X to 1.14 per share. Its worth noting that 30 days ago analysts thought the number for the year was going to be 1.13. While that’s not a huge upward revision at least its in the right direction! At 1.14 and at their current price the stock will be trading at a 13 P/E. Its almost like Wall Street thinks the company is on the verge of bankruptcy. I'll tell you what's happening. Everyone just has a knee-jerk gut reaction against chip stocks. It’s a commodity. It’s a tech bust. "I don’t understand it". Etc. But AMAT has $1.5bb in net cash, and $2.73bb in cash flows over the past year. Even without the 35% expected growth this is an LBO waiting to happen.

People owning AMAT also tend to own: AMTAMXBIDUFMCNKRYRACKSTP

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • KLAC
    Kla-tencor Corpor
  • $33.47
  • +1.86%
  • $33.08

Earnings going from 1.869 to 2.90. Over the past 30 days analysts estimates went from 2.80 to 2.90. The company has $2bb in net cash, a $9bb market cap, and will probably generate $700-800mm in cash flows over the next year. They are also experiencing record orders. Down 4.6% over the past year.

People owning KLAC also tend to own: AGUCSCODISDIVXGSLEHLSCC

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • OIIM
    O2micro Internati
  • $4.27
  • -2.29%
  • $4.40

Down 30% in the past year. Earnings going from 2 cents to 24 cents in 2007 to 50 cents in 2008. Analysts have upped estimates from 19 cents to 23 cents to 24 cents in the past 90 days. $60mm in net cash.

People owning OIIM also tend to own: CCOFHPQMOMRVLPFERIG

TheStreet.com Rating: D+ What is this?

  • +
  • BRNC
    Bronco Drilling C
  • $6.40
  • +8.84%
  • $6.07

$383mm market cap, $110mm in EBITDA, $60mm in net debt so cash flows are more than sufficient to pay down debt. Scott Black in the Barron's roundtable has this in his portfolio: "Trading at almost book value, generating cash and growing. On a breakup value, Black thinks this is worth $25.86. "It is in the bargain basement"."

People owning BRNC also tend to own: LMSWIREEXPSAIBOOMCVCODW

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • PZZA
    Papa John's Inter
  • $22.96
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

Buyout candidate. $900mm mkt cap, $120mm EBITDA. Down 12% in past 52 weeks. EPS going from 1.29 in 2006 to 1.46 in 2007.

People owning PZZA also tend to own: BGBHEBIGCPTSDYNGWRGYMB

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • OXPS
    Optionsxpress Hol
  • $15.85
  • +1.54%
  • $15.70

13% down in past 52 weeks. Forward P/E of 13. Exceeded estimates the past 4 quarters. Last estimate up a penny in the past 30 days.

People owning OXPS also tend to own: APNS.OBAVNRDSCOEBHIECPGEVICGE

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • AET
    Aetna Inc. New
  • $29.82
  • +2.26%
  • $28.75

Stock down 13% in past year. Earnings growing from 2.82 in 2006 to 3.28 in 2007. Analysts have upped that from 3.25 in the past 90 days. $12bb in net cash. $3bb in cash flows, and a $21bb market cap. I also like that they are in the Defiance ETF - the ETF made up of stocks that did well on down days last quarter.

People owning AET also tend to own: BZHCGIFBPHOVKBHLUKMDC

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

Portfolio not tracked!

02/15/2007 13:37 PM CST Asked by bluefish
Amat's up big for a 1st quarter on memory, but it sounded like they won't really know how their year is going to be until/if other products pick up. They're also still flushing the toilet on that plant closing. I sold into this latest strength and will check back after Q2 because that will give a better litmus test of whether they are going to meet or surpass 07 numbers.

02/13/2007 01:33 AM CST Asked by DMO Investments
On Q1 we will be looking at cash flow and short term liabilities for strength in the company and a knock down of debt.

02/13/2007 01:24 AM CST Asked by DMO Investments
AMAT has potential as the balance sheet looks strong.

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