Super Contest Stocks
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average rating: 3.87 / 30 ratings
Created by James Altucher
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:06-25-2007

Contests are like mudwrestling. You get in the mud, its ugly, someone’s going to cry “Uncle!” , and when its over someone’s feeling great and the other person is eating mud. That’s what stockpicking contests are like. You can’t full around with Wal-mart or Microsoft. A few months ago, the type of stock that made millionaires out of contestants was a stock like Dendreon, a stock that could go up or down 10-20% in a day, every day for a week. I made a portfolio of Super Contest Stocks that I think have all the potential of breaking out in the next few days, evfen if they might not be great long-term investments. At the end of this article, I give several research tools that I’ll be using to do these “contest articles” on a regular basis. These will be the exact tools I used daily for my own trading.

I used to trade a lot more regularly for several hedge funds. The bread and butter trade was always finding stocks that had sold off too much the day before for irrational reasons, buying the open the next day, and even selling any pop during the day. The most we would hold stocks in these situations were 2-3 days.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • BRLC
    Brlc
  • $0.00
  • N/A
  • $N/A

There seems to be a huge misunderstanding on BRLC. xWall Street hates uncertainly and whats uncertain right now is whether or not BRLC is pulling its flat panel displays from Circuit City stores. CC is supposedly trying to find another flat panel display maker to buy from according to analysts but BRLC released a note later in the day that said they are fully commited to CC. The stock fell 90 cents, or 16.4%, to $4.56 on concerns about this despite the fact that demand is so huge for BRLC flat panel displays that regardless of CC it probably would not affect BRLC’s bottom line. This could be a pop right back to $5 on a snapback play. . BRLC appeared on Biggest % Losers.

People owning BRLC also tend to own: ACASAHMATBAUYDNDNDPZINFN

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • HS
    Healthspring Inc.
  • $17.00
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

HealthSpring got slaughtered yesterday on one of the biggest market days of the years. The managed care provider reduced guidance for the year from $1.55 to $1.20 as rising medicare costs are hurting the bottom line. That said, this company is dirt cheap. All the hedge funds and mutual funds knew the risks here and still quality operations like value fund David Dreman and activist fund Perry Corp who owns 9.4% of the company. Even at $1.20 the company trades at just 16 times forward earnings. Back out their$500mm in cash with no debt and the company trades at just 9 times earnings, even with the reduced guidance. Throw in their just-announced $50mm buyback, plus the two quality investors who have room to back up the truck and we have all the makings of a snapback play here. HS was a member yesterday of the Hot List

People owning HS also tend to own: AETBCEBFAMBKBNICMECMED

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • NSM
    Natl Semiconducto
  • $14.45
  • +4.63%
  • $14.16

Many prop traders know that the best time to buy a stock is when its made a huge spike, and then pulled back on profit taking. The idea is that it will hit new highs before long. NSM recently announced earnings that crushed expectations and the stock soared. Yesterday, inevitably, it had a 2% pullback. But no matter. The company also announced it was going to do a $2bb stock buyback on the open market. Management is made up of believers. NSM is on our list of Top Insider Purchases and Buybacks. The company has a pristine balance sheet with slightly over $800mm in net cash and only trades at 12x EBITDA. Analysts expect earnings to grow from $1.21 to $1.50 this year so there is clearly a disconnect in the market between the growth and the cheapness of their multiple. I think this stock hits $30 fairly quickly.

People owning NSM also tend to own: AMGNCTSHFFIVMDTNETLNIHDOIIM

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • BRCD
    Brocade Communica
  • $7.10
  • -8.95%
  • $7.60

A Buy at the open triggered by the 3x2 system. Since January 1, 2006, there have been 26 successes out of 32 trades for an average profit of 4.03% BRCD is also on our top tech takeover targets portfolio where we state: “Brocade is in the front line in providing sophisticated storage solutions into the corporation. They provide the software, the switches, the bandwidth,the hardware know how to build clusters, mirroring, backups, etc. CSCO has been building out its storage with its latest acquisition of neopath but I think a buy of BRCD would make it game over. BRCD trades at 17 times cash flows but they will probably double those cash flows over the next year,making an acquisition quickly accretive. Analysts expect revenues to grow from 1.3bb this year to $1.6bb next.”

People owning BRCD also tend to own: CEBAYEMCFCFSFLEXGEGME

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • ONNN
    On Semiconductor
  • $7.87
  • +0.38%
  • $7.84

A Buy at the open triggered by the 3x2 system. Since January 1, 2006, there have been 35 successes out of 40 trades for an average profit of 4.08% Forward P/E of 10. P/E of 12. Beaten or met estimates for the past 4 quarters in a row. Analysts expect earnings per share to go from 81 cents to 1.00 over the next year.

People owning ONNN also tend to own: AMKRATMLDRLQSIRISIGMSTEC

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • SSYS
    Stratasys
  • $16.15
  • +0.25%
  • $15.90

From the Rising on Unusual Volume List, SSYS was up 4.8% yesterday when it was announced it would be replacing Lone Star Technologies, which is getting bought by X, in the S&P 500. Funds already started scooping this up but my guess is this can hit $50 fairly quickly over the next few days as index funds and ETFs dump the shares of X they are getting in the merger with LSS and are forced to buy shares of SSYS. I also like SSYS for the long run as a very innovative “green” play and I have an article coming out on this in the next few days. Suffice to say, though, it has a great balance sheet of $42mm in cash and no debt and a reasonable 26 P/E considering almost 100% expected earnings growth.

People owning SSYS also tend to own: AAPLAAVBLUEXBWTRCOPDODFXIGT

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • DNDN
    Dendreon Corporat
  • $27.20
  • -1.23%
  • $27.56

On our biotech short squeezes list. 41mm shares short. That will cushion any selloff from here. And the slightest ounce of good news, of which DNDN seems to have plenty, is enough to send this 30% higher.

People owning DNDN also tend to own: GLWUNHACASAHMATBAUYBRLC

TheStreet.com Rating: D- What is this?

  • +
  • IMH
    N/a
  • $0.1004
  • 0.00
  • $0.1004

Still being punished for the subprime mess. Meanwhile, IMH is not even a subprime lender. They focus on Alt-A loans which is a cut above subprime. NFI rose 6% yesterday on decent volume and I think IMH follows in sympathy

People owning IMH also tend to own: APCBBIBRLCARCHECMCSKCOP

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

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