Steven Milos US Portfolio
1503 views
Rate Now: 1 2 3 4

average rating: 0.00 / 0 ratings
Created by Steven Milos
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:10-04-2007

This is an eclectic portfolio, not completely balanced, but only includes US listed names. It contains value plays, faster growth companies, M&A targets, and other thematic, special situations. It has small, medium, and large cap names, but is missing out on some industries that I'd like to gain exposure to. The positions are not completely equal weighted. Furthermore, some are trades, some are investments, and includes a few investments that were sold, and which I will look to repurchase again. Generally, stronger leaning to value investment style, with a focus on net cash or low debt companies, that trade cheap on either P/E, P/Book, or EV/EBITDA, hopefully with either an impending catalyst, activist shareholder or a secular trend to provide impetus.

FYI, formulae referenced in commentary as one type of valuation metric that I consider (not a must have though):

Ben Graham value criteria: (Price/Book)x(Price/2007 Est. Earnings) < 22.5

David Merkel value criteria: Price/[(Book Value)+(5x2007 Est. Earnings)] < 1.0

Feel free to leave any comments if you'd like.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • ANPI
    Angiotech Pharma
  • $0.37
  • -5.13%
  • $0.40

Cheap biotech; added AMI acquisition to diversify revenues; eventually either turns around, or gets taken out itself; meets Graham/Merkel criteria as a deep value play

People owning ANPI also tend to own: AIGASPVCOODOWELOSJNJMMM

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • BYD
    Boyd Gaming Corp
  • $4.85
  • -6.37%
  • $5.23

Expensive on a P/E basis, but cheapest large casino player on a P/CF basis. Decent national footprint, including Borgata jewel, and strong expansion plans through 2010. Given recent private equity activity, seems as reasonable target; large debt load though. Boyd family holds 30%, would only allow a deal at a substantial premium.

People owning BYD also tend to own: AFAMBCOCCRTDVAASCAHETIGT

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • CVS
    Cvs Caremark Cp
  • $28.85
  • -3.06%
  • $29.17

Good, steady growth, at a much cheaper price than Walgreen's. Takeover of Caremark should prove accretive, and potentially transform the industry model with the combination of a drugstore and PBM. Defensive play; also offers play on aging demographic

People owning CVS also tend to own: ADMAVPBF-BBTICLDEOK

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • OPMR
    Optimal Group
  • $1.25
  • +1.63%
  • $1.28

meets Merkel criteria as a deep value play; roughly $4 cash per share, no debt; attracted activist investor interest; probable M&A candidate if management does not deliver on strategic review process. Don't like their WowWee acquisition, held for sale now.

People owning OPMR also tend to own: BLGBXGCNBKAEDCIMECAMPGNABI

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • PTIE
    Pain Therapeutics
  • $9.18
  • -2.13%
  • $9.19

$4 per share cash, zero debt; low burn rate; two drugs in Phase III trials with results expected in 2007 and 2008, with more in earlier stage trials; if the trials are successful, stock should perform very strongly, multibagger; if not, still decent pipeline, with cash on the balance sheet and large short position providing downside support. Short term heavily oversold, and has bottomed in the $7.75 range 5 times in the last 12 months. Fell through previous bottom at $7.75, bounced off $7.00; cash balance provides floor

People owning PTIE also tend to own: FLNA.PKEWZLONGNCTYPGJSKXVIV

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • SWY
    Safeway Stores In
  • $21.21
  • -3.68%
  • $21.68

Defensive play, with 12-15% earnings growth; Blackhawk giftcard subsidiary provides exceptional growth, and could eventually be spun out, probably worth $6-10 per share; not cheap, but steady. As of March 22, 2007, only 6 of 17 analysts rate it a buy, with 5 sells; lots of room for upgrades as the economy slows, the Lifestyle reformats continue, and Blackhawk continues to grow strongly

People owning SWY also tend to own: EMEKMXBKHFRNTQATEGOOG

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • ELOS
    Syneron Medical L
  • $8.87
  • -7.99%
  • $9.52

Nice play on aging, vain baby boomers, demographic; over $6 cash per share, no debt; trades at 11x 2007E EPS, ex-cash. Earnings down YoY, due to G&A and marketing buildout, which should allow easier comps going forward, analysts estimate 19% or so. Strongest margins in the industry; new dental laser product has strong potential.

People owning ELOS also tend to own: AMGNANFBBBBCWCOHARIIFMER

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • TLM
    Talisman Energy I
  • $8.77
  • -11.05%
  • $8.99

One of the cheapest, large E&P companies; nice balance between oil and natural gas; nice diversification between North America, North Sea, and SE Asia; very good management; very large asset disposal and share repurchase program underway, could repurchase 10%+ of the stock this year; recent Icahn purchase

People owning TLM also tend to own: ANRAUXLBTRXBUCYBZPCENXCNX

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

previous next
 

Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

ANPI 6.03 -93.86% Mar 20th
BYD 44.85 -89.19% Mar 20th
CVS 33.33 -13.44% Mar 20th
OPMR 8.55 -85.38% Mar 20th
PTIE 7.32 +25.41% Mar 20th
SWY 35.63 -40.47% Mar 20th
ELOS 26.43 -66.44% Mar 20th
TLM 16.58 -47.10% Mar 20th
TRMA 36.48 -78.23% Mar 20th
WMI 34.05 -13.80% Mar 20th
XRTX 23.65 -76.62% Mar 20th
ZNT 46.65 -33.98% Mar 20th
CLX 67.182 -14.86% May 22nd
WLP 81.71 -51.29% Jun 1st
CNA 50.85 -64.76% Jun 7th
SXT 27.52 -13.41% Jul 16th
NTRS 67.31 -24.04% Jul 18th
GD 78.33 -27.88% Aug 9th
TXN 35.77 -54.49% Sep 21st
WFR 58.13 -66.35% Sep 21st
MMM 91.44 -36.36% Sep 21st
NLY 15.84 -24.12% Sep 21st
GIS 57.80 +11.51% Oct 4th

Average return:

-34.12%

Success rate:

8.7%

Deleted Stocks:

ADS 61.03 +26.50% Mar 20th
ASPV 20.96 ------ Mar 20th
BJ 33.07 +12.82% Mar 20th
CF 41.69 +57.69% Mar 20th
GIB 8.42 +35.27% Mar 20th
GSF 61.00 ------ Mar 20th
NWS 24.21 -5.82% Mar 20th
DGX 49.77 +12.52% Mar 20th
TRA 18.12 +59.99% Mar 20th
VLO 60.77 +15.34% Mar 20th
WGII 60.83 ------ Mar 20th
WCI 22.44 ------ Mar 20th
WNG 65.00 ------ Mar 28th
MS 86.02 +1.43% Jun 1st
NSC 58.40 -3.29% Jun 1st
K 51.53 +7.51% Jun 8th
AW 13.65 -5.05% Jul 25th

Tracking Started: 03-20-2007

07/25/2007 14:17 PM CDT Asked by π
nice port...I like AW also

ADD YOUR COMMENTS:

Top Biotech Short-Squeeze Plays

One industry that is expected to do well in a Barack Obama presidency is biotech. With the drop in the stock market bringing down all stocks, including the biotechs, short-...

11.20.08 | 18:30 PM
Cramer's Take on Top-Searched St...

As if Wednesday's blood bath wasn't enough, Wall Street was further rattled on Thursday after the Labor Department reported that new claims for unemployment benefits climbe...

11.20.08 | 17:59 PM
Jim Cramer's Portfolios of the Week

Jim Cramer has no problem with remaining in the bear camp on Wall Street. Recently, he spotted a new crisis on the horizon for the commercial real estate market, and on Thu...

11.20.08 | 17:11 PM
Approach China Medical With Caution

Financial research is never a simple task. It requires a substantial time commitment to read over a company's recent filings and listen to its investor presentation, as we...

11.20.08 | 14:15 PM
more articles
Will black social ills take a ba...
11.22.08 | 18:53 PM From author Valerie Vecchio
Dear crooked CEO
11.19.08 | 17:17 PM From author srea
Anarchy Stock Market
11.20.08 | 21:32 PM From author silversliver
a race to beat the clock.....swi...
11.22.08 | 16:34 PM From author michael morse
more forums
Q. 3 more banks fail! http://ww...
11.22.08 | 17:21 PM Asked by michael morse

A. so.....if fed thinks its okay for USB to
pick up the tab for 2 of the
banks....should you still be worried
about USB? i might add that one to my
financials that i'm collecting.

today 's lists
Mid-Cap Value Plays

This is a screen of mid cap stocks, i.e. with market capitalizations between $1 billion and $5 billion that also have a P/E less than or equal to 10 and a quick ratio of gr... more

Dogs of the Dow

Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks that have a yield of greater than or equal to 3. In the description box for each stock is its current yield. more

Analyst Upgrades

Analyst Upgrades for Nov. 20, 2008 more