Date updated:12-12-2007
Proactive Value & Special Situations Investing
"The essence of a message is its improbability"
"Accept the inevitable drawdowns... the greatest investors throughout history do"
"When you reach the point of maximum regret, add to your positions with conviction"
"Due diligence"

-
CHB
Champion Enterpri - $8.97
- -1.54%
- $9.11
VERY DEPRESSED MFRD HOUSING INDUSTRY, CAPACITY CLOSURES & BANKRUPTCIES, MGMT SHIFTING PRODUCT MIX TO MODULAR/COMMERCIAL, REFINANCING DEBT ADVANTAGEOUSLY.

-
BAM
Brookfield Asset - $30.93
- -1.97%
- $31.30
FEE GENERATING BEHEMOTH MANAGED BY BEST DEAL MAKERS, SPINNING OFF INFRASTRUCTURE BUSINESS, EXPECT MORE ACQS & DIVESTITURES

-
ABH
Abitibibowater In - $8.03
- -6.08%
- $8.55
newsprint mkt structurally improving w/ massive capacity reductions, merger synergies (ABH+BOW), highly levgd b/s

-
ORSD.L
Orascm Sp.gdr Reg - $134.75
- -0.55%
- $135.50
rebuilding the middle east w/ recycled petrodollars, divesting capital intensive cement business

-
ACF
Americredit Cp - $12.15
- -1.62%
- $11.87
subprime auto lender w/ conservative standards, came close to Ch 11 in 2002, slowing originations now, trades @ .7x TBV, potential takeover

-
FCX
Freeport Mcmoran - $108.64
- +0.99%
- $108.44
copper mkt has structural supply shortage and is prone to disruptions (e.g. labor issues in Peru, earthquakes), demand is BRIC-driven, don't need to do any acquisitions, PD integration and debt-paydown way ahead of schedule, mgmt/board committed to returning capital to shareholders, gold outlook strong, hidden value in Molybdenum mines, possible takeout in global mining consolidation.

-
SCHN
Schnitzer Steel A - $93.25
- -2.16%
- $96.00
global metals recycling play, exporter from US to Turkey, Korea, other developing countries all w/ surging demand, control the real estate and ports for shipping, also own a minimill in Oregon which tried to sell in past, great mgmt team.

-
XMSR
Xm Satellite Radi - $7.67
- -0.78%
- $7.73
SIRI merger goes through and cost synergies blow away the bears, Mel Karmazin's farewell shot of value creation for the patient and loyal investor.
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