Oil Heavy
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Created by C Rodby
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:10-12-2007

Stocks that I think will outperform the S&P index over the next few years. They are pretty much value plays, and I have a point of view. I believe that oil prices will continue to increase because demand from India and China will outstrip production capacity, and the national oil companies in Mexico, Venezuela, and Russia will underinvest.
Alternative fuels and LNG will highlight just how much more valuable oil and gas are, and they will not add enough supply to make a difference in my investment time horizon.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • HLX
    Helix Energy Solu
  • $11.87
  • -5.94%
  • $12.61

Ocean Drilling, decent value

People owning HLX also tend to own: AOBASNBBCCEOERFLONGPTEN

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • OIH
    Oil Service Holdr
  • $115.68
  • -2.44%
  • $118.28

ETF focused on drilling. Everytime I try to value these companies separately, I am never able to pull the trigger. I do not trust enough to know which will outperform. But I believe the entire group will outperform the S&P, and that is how I justified it.

People owning OIH also tend to own: BTUSPYXLEXOMDVNMPETSUN

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • COP
    Conocophillips
  • $51.17
  • -1.29%
  • $51.80

Low P/E, and while reserves are not growing, I expect that oil prices will rise. Further, they are gushing cash, and sooner or later, that will accrue to the shareholder.

People owning COP also tend to own: AAALLAPCBUDCVXDOWGSK

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • WFC
    Wells Fargo & Co
  • $26.49
  • -3.50%
  • $27.52

I know the CEO. I regard this as the best bank, and as long is he is there, I will hold the stock.

People owning WFC also tend to own: ACEBACCCBCOPCVXDIS

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • F
    Ford Motor Co
  • $8.94
  • -0.78%
  • $9.05

I know the CEO. He is the best leader I have ever seen running anything. I owned Boeing while he was there, and I made a lot of money on it. Ford stock has problems, especially with the dilution at $9.20, and it may be better to hold the bonds rather than the stock. But, I am betting that I will do pretty well.

People owning F also tend to own: HANSDRLTXNANNAUYBACBHI

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • VRTX
    Vertex Pharmaceut
  • $40.22
  • +1.85%
  • $40.14

This is a speculative play. If the PROVE 1 and 2 studies continue showing the results they have been, this stock should go to $50. Even if the study results prove less than current hopes, it will still do well. The big risk is if they find some big safety issue in the large scale trials, and I may not hang around for the Phase III trials.

People owning VRTX also tend to own: EXPEIACIMCDXECAGPALXNATU

TheStreet.com Rating: D- What is this?

  • +
  • GSF
    Gsf
  • $0.00
  • N/A
  • $N/A

Global oil driller and servicing play. Relatively low P/E, and forecast revenue and sales results look compelling.

People owning GSF also tend to own: ACIBJSBTUCNXCWEIDNRDO

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • DVN
    Devon Energy Cp (
  • $66.26
  • -1.95%
  • $67.42

Oil and natural gas find in the Gulf. I am skeptical of the claims they are making, but it still is a lot of oil and natural gas.

People owning DVN also tend to own: AAPLBACBBYBGTCSCOCTSHDEO

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

HLX 39.12 -69.66% May 2nd
OIH 158.43 -26.98% May 2nd
COP 69.25 -26.11% May 2nd
WFC 35.70 -25.80% May 2nd
F 8.08 +10.64% May 2nd
VRTX 30.1734 +33.30% May 2nd
GSF 64.96 ------ May 2nd
DVN 73.56 -9.92% May 2nd
APA 73.82 +28.56% May 2nd
APC 46.248 +29.52% May 2nd
CVX 78.40 -0.56% May 2nd
BRK-A 109175.00 -9.32% May 10th
GS 225.53 -27.15% May 26th

Average return:

-7.79%

Success rate:

33.33%

Tracking Started: 05-02-2007

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