Keen Long Bear
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average rating: 3.66 / 2 ratings
Created by keendawgg
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:07-10-2008

LONG / Short Portfolio Style
11/20/07 Every dog has his day and the portfolio is making a killing hitting the shorts right on the head. Have been stopped out of many of my long positions, with the exception of natural gas plays, Canadian Oil trust plays and FSUMF on the Australian market which will double to 100 in 2008
11/12/07
I have been stopped out of many of my stocks and the shorts are making up for all the small losses. The Leaders of this market that carried it to its highs have now broken down. Google, Apple, Rimm, Cisco and China Mobile- this was one of the major indicators I have been watching for!!!

10/31/07 Although I am still negative on the market intermediate term , I am not going to fight it during the short term. Be nimble, use and update stop loss orders, slowly lock in profits on large gains, look at some dividend payers and think outside the box. Consider hedging your longs with a small position on PSQ or DOG (they work as shorts). I still like the Canadian energy trusts and enengy plays like DVN, XTO, UPL and natural gas in general.

12/1/06
This market is overheated but still shows signs of further upside. Be nimble, this market could (and should) retrace this move.
Have exit strategies for your postions. Raise cash. Look at puts, shorts and PSQ

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • HTE
    Harvest Energy Tr
  • $9.22
  • -0.54%
  • $9.21

Harvest Energy Trust-- Canadian Trust. Great value, yields 17%. I expect the dividend to be cut but the principle should maintain. (Bought at 23.50)

People owning HTE also tend to own: ALDBMYCNEDSXGAINGOODML.TO

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • PSQ
    Proshares Short Q
  • $46.20
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

Nasdaq Short. If my portfolio can outperform the market it should be profitable no matter what the market does because of the size of my shorts.

People owning PSQ also tend to own: ENERHTELUKMICCWFRXTODOG

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • LUK
    Leucadia Natl Cp
  • $21.91
  • -1.35%
  • $22.23

Finally bought, should have bought years ago. Core holding, long term. Take a look bought at 30. Sold out at 52, will hope for a drop to 40.

People owning LUK also tend to own: ACFBMYBRK-ABRK-BCNQDJCODUK

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • XTO
    Xto Energy Inc
  • $41.11
  • -1.25%
  • $41.35

XTO Energy- Bought at 58 (split adjusted, 42)

People owning XTO also tend to own: APAAPCBHICHKCOPCVXDVN

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • MICC
    Millicom Internat
  • $74.92
  • +1.75%
  • $73.04

Millicom Intl Cellular, bought at 94.4

People owning MICC also tend to own: ENERHTELUKPSQWFRXTOADBE

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • WFR
    Memc Electronic M
  • $12.08
  • -2.19%
  • $12.25

MEMC Electronic Materials- They make silicon wafers for solar power generation. Solar has been losing investors millions for the last few decades but now the time has come where the cost, technology, and will have aligned to make it feasable. Oil prices are sky high, LNG and CNG infrastucture isn't ready yet and ethenal is an inefficient political answer to a much bigger problem. Solar has its problems too, its biggest problem is a shortage of silicon wafers that collect the suns energy. So MEMC Electronic Materials owns the bottleneck to our best solution to the energy problem. Its not cheap, but still going higher. Estimates keep getting raised and they keep beating them. That is called hypergrowth. Story remains the same but i got stopped out at a 8 % loss.

People owning WFR also tend to own: ENERHTELUKMICCPSQXTOQQQQ

TheStreet.com Rating: D+ What is this?

  • +
  • ENER
    Energy Conversion
  • $10.57
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

Energy Conversion Devices- Losing money, missed 3 of last 4 quarters, EPS lowered. New CEO brought in from United Technologies with a wealth of experience. very low debt. Three business segments- (1st)Thin film solar panels, (2nd) Batteries and battery patents including a leading battery for Hybrid cars (3rd) Memory chip technology research. Reasonable price in the hot solar market and they have a cost advantage because they don't use the more expensive silicon wafers. Let your winners run and cut your losers. Bought at 28

People owning ENER also tend to own: ABXESLRHTELUKMICCPSQWFR

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

 

Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

HTE 22.76 -59.49% Mar 14th
PSQ 64.98 -28.90% Mar 14th
LUK 28.78 -23.87% Mar 20th
XTO 59.56 -30.98% Jul 17th
MICC 95.60 -21.63% Jul 18th
WFR 72.27 -83.28% Nov 5th
ENER 27.52 -61.59% Nov 7th

Average return:

-11.07%

Success rate:

0%

Deleted Stocks:

MRVL 17.62 -12.88% Mar 14th
NYX 82.69 +10.29% Mar 14th
COF 74.93 +5.04% Mar 14th
EWW 49.60 0.00% Mar 14th
AIG 67.29 +3.52% Mar 14th
USG 48.57 -23.72% Mar 14th
AHS 21.31 +0.75% Mar 14th
CCRT 26.14 +21.35% Mar 14th
LFL 84.83 -83.53% Jul 17th
LUX 38.69 -11.99% Jul 17th
ANAD 15.15 -15.64% Nov 5th
SINA 57.83 -22.69% Nov 6th
FMCN 65.00 -22.54% Nov 6th

Hated Stocks:

RF 35.77 -84.76% May 25th
AMZN 68.53 +89.20% May 25th
UTK 15.05 -73.42% May 25th
HTZ 21.20 -53.87% May 25th
TLT 90.56 +5.04% Nov 7th

Deleted Hate Stocks:

ORCL 19.2673 +12.26% May 25th

Tracking Started: 03-14-2007

11/09/2006 04:30 AM CST Asked by BigCityChicken
I like your world view.........some nice picks too.

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