JDShots 2009 Portfolio
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Created by JDShots
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:01-16-2009

This portfolio is designed to profit during the year of 2009. Based on what I have read the following may happen this year:
Oil will have short-lived rallies, but will decline overall.

Industrial materials will suffer but gold will do well overall.

Russian stocks will suffer a great deal, but China's stocks should do well. Chile's economy may be damaged the least due to the way their economy is structured, being somewhat isolated from the global economy. Many Chilean stocks will do well.

Real estate will improve short term as speculators (professional investors, AKA 'flippers') keep it from crashing, but prices will continue to fall in most regions, which is bad for the consumer. Speculators buy cheap properties from banks and auctions, fix them up, and rent them out until prices improve enough to sell profitably. FLA housing prices are down the most and may see the biggest improvements.

The retail sector will continue to decline and many retailers will fail.

A few companies in the Healthcare and Biotech sectors should do very well while the rest of the market declines.

Defense stocks may do well, since the possibility of an increase in warfare around the world seems increasingly likely.

More banks will fall along with the Dollar, although the Yen should do well.

Long-term, I would look at certain resources to increase in value, such as food and water / energy utilities. Leisure stocks may not suffer as much as many analysts believe, since many foreigners will look to take advantage of improving exchange rates and government stimulus for the consumer, namely China. Chinese travel companies should do well as a result.

Overall, most stocks and bonds will decline but money can be made in a bear market through futures options and shorting.

Enormous fraud will reveal itself as companies are no longer able to hide their corruption. This will be triggered by further mutual fund redemptions (investors pulling money from the market). Mutual funds contain pools of stocks and are traded by institutional investors for pension funds and other long-term investments.

Education related securites should improve due to stimulus support.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • SDK
    Pst Ulsht Rsl Mc
  • $29.72
  • +0.99%
  • $29.84

I will sell this 2x bear just before a stimulus package is passed, then pick it back up shortly thereafter. I will fill the void with a buy of UKW, which is the 2x bull version.

People owning SDK also tend to own: SFKSJFSJHSJLSKKDUGDXD

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • EDV
    Vanguard Ext Dura
  • $98.55
  • +0.41%
  • $98.48

This should play a part until a recovery begins. This is a saftey play.

People owning EDV also tend to own: ANADATSIAXTIBEAVESIFAZFRPT

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • TLT
    Ishares Barclays
  • $95.12
  • -0.02%
  • $95.00

This should play a part until a recovery begins. This is a saftey play.

People owning TLT also tend to own: CVXPFEBTEIAUINTCIOOIVV

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • PLW
    Powershares 1-30
  • $27.66
  • +0.26%
  • $27.65

This should play a part until a recovery begins. This is a saftey play.

People owning PLW also tend to own: ANADATSIAXTIBEAVEDVESIFAZ

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • TIP
    Ishares Barclays
  • $105.66
  • 0.00%
  • $105.72

This inflation fighter should play a part for the next 20 years or so.

People owning TIP also tend to own: EPIQJNJCUTDBCEEMEFAFXY

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • QSII
    Quality Systems
  • $60.92
  • -0.98%
  • $61.61

Medical records automation. What's not to like, especially with Oblama calling for this need?

People owning QSII also tend to own: GRMNVSTHAAPLCOHCROXCSCOCTSH

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • ATSI
    Ats Medical
  • $2.85
  • 0.00%
  • $2.86

No Analysis added

People owning ATSI also tend to own: ABTLANSRBIOVCALDCASMDANKYDDIC

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • JJSF
    J & J Snack Foods
  • $38.63
  • +1.50%
  • $38.17

No Analysis added

People owning JJSF also tend to own: GEGSACASATNIAZZFDSLECO

TheStreet.com Rating: B+ What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

SDK 158.43 -81.24% Dec 29th
EDV 106.66 -7.60% Dec 29th
TLT 97.05 -1.99% Dec 29th
PLW 30.06 -7.98% Jan 12th
TIP 99.51 +6.18% Jan 12th
QSII 39.50 +54.23% Jan 12th
ATSI 2.80 +1.79% Jan 12th
JJSF 34.57 +11.74% Jan 12th
RFR 1.56 +7.05% Jan 12th
STHJF.PK 0.3215 +72.78% Jan 12th
PZG 0.38 +239.47% Jan 12th
ANAD 1.85 +64.86% Jan 12th
SIGM 10.30 +9.71% Jan 12th
AXTI 1.34 +68.66% Jan 12th
OFIX 15.72 +89.38% Jan 12th
FAZ 46.20 -57.49% Jan 14th
SKF 126.90 -80.53% Jan 14th
SJL 91.34 -67.24% Jan 15th
SFK 87.3101 -56.76% Jan 15th
SJF 119.72 -54.01% Jan 15th
SKK 72.43 -68.01% Jan 15th
SJH 77.3922 -59.92% Jan 15th
SDS 79.833 -53.77% Jan 15th
SSG 88.04 -73.33% Jan 15th
SDD 75.09 -58.77% Jan 15th
REW 81.74 -68.83% Jan 15th
SDP 46.38 -47.84% Jan 15th
BEAV 8.66 +130.48% Jan 16th
NOC 46.71 +17.75% Jan 16th
SPR 11.83 +49.20% Jan 16th
PCLN 69.05 +202.32% Jan 16th
ESI 96.88 -4.74% Jan 16th
MCD 57.33 +11.58% Jan 16th
JACK 20.13 -7.85% Jan 16th
FRPT 6.48 -19.44% Jan 16th

Average return:

+15.84%

Success rate:

45.71%

Deleted Stocks:

TWM 68.10 +8.75% Jan 14th

Hated Stocks:

FAS 17.96 +324.11% Jan 14th
RTH 71.76 +30.91% Jan 14th
IYG 41.25 +32.24% Jan 14th
XLY 20.69 +38.67% Jan 14th
XRT 20.32 +72.39% Jan 14th

Tracking Started: 12-29-2008

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