Date updated:09-27-2007
Jim made several calls over the last week either on his show or in a column or post and we highlight them in this portfolio for you.

-
GDI
Gardner Denver In - $38.41
- -0.52%
- $38.62
A great play on the strength of oil and the euro is Gardner Denver, Inc. (GDI) but it is not the most sexy stock for investors. This is a boring industrial company that makes the tools that are needed to extract oil from the earth. Right now a lot of oil companies are spending big money on these tools right now. The stock was called cheap by Cramer. He pointed out if Baker Hughes Incorporated (BHI) and National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. (NOV) can trade at 15 and 16.5 times next years earnings then GDI which is trading at 11 times earnings should be at a 13 or 14 multiple. GDI has international growth as well with 58% of sales from overseas, Europe alone is 36%. They make money in euros then convert back to dollars at incredibly beneficial exchange rates. This is a stock that you want to pounce on when the market gives you a discount and when oil is down like it was today.

-
BTE
Baytex Energy Tr - $26.51
- 0.00%
- $N/A
Last year there was a change in Canadian tax laws that hit energy trusts. There was concern that it would be too attractive for foreign companies to ignore this and Jim found a way to profit from what is going on. Recently Abu Dhabi National Energy Co. purchased Canada's PrimeWest Energy Trust (PWI) at a 33% premium. Other trusts are targets now and they are too cheap right now and this alone should send them higher. Jim used a formula: the cost of acquiring a company at its current quote, divided by barrels of oil equivalent produced per day. This formula gave him five trusts much cheaper than PWI. Baytex (BTE) offered the most upside to him. Jim was assuming that BTE even taken out at a 15% discount to the enterprise value per barrel per day that PWI got would leave roughly 47% upside from the current quote. We were told that the next time oil goes below $80 per barrel to load up on BTE.

-
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Ol - $36.74
- -1.79%
- $37.46
A downturn in the market like Cramer said would happen yesterday, if it does he would be buying CRBL Group, Inc. (CBRL) because its cheap. They have bought back 54% of its shares in the last 18 months and they plan to buy another million shares. Last week they beat earnings estimates and guidance was above consensus estimates. The dividend was boosted as well. Fundamentals are obviously sound and the company saw a big reorganization last year. They also sold off a weak subsidiary in Logan's Roadhouse. CBRL is a good play with the buyback and reorganization so look into it.

-
TXT
Textron Inc - $20.11
- -2.47%
- $20.63
This week Jim is highlighting companies that do a large portion of business outside the U.S. Tuesday Textron Inc. (TXT) was his pick, this is a company that makes luxury jets, helicopters, military aircraft and land vehicles. Yearly Honeywell International Inc. (HON) gives an outlook for the business aviation industry. They told us this year we should see record setting numbers with them expecting 14,000 new business jets to be delivered in the next decade. Cramer told us the best part of the report was that the rest of the world is having a much bigger demand for jets than the U.S. TXT's rest of the world growth is triple that of the operations in the U.S. They are levered to the military so they shouldn't see a problem in the U.S. market. The best way to make money is to move outside the U.S.

-
NAVZ.PK
Navz.pk - $0.00
- N/A
- $N/A
Navistar International Corporation (NAVZ.PK) was brought up today as it may be a risky stock but could be a real money maker. This truck engine maker trades on the pink sheets because they have to restate some old financial statements. On October 25 they restate some old financial statements and this means they should be back on the "big board soon enough." A part of the business is making mine resistant MRAP vehicles and if the Department of Defense gets the budget approved tomorrow they could up the fleet from 2,000 to 14,000 of these vehicles and that would be a good catalyst for a company with 44% of the orders. They trade at a discount to competitors Cummins Inc. (CMI) and PACCAR Inc (PCAR) in the engine business as well. The company is an attractive takeover target as well. With all these reasons how can you not look at the company.

-
ACM
Aecom Technology - $24.54
- 0.00%
- $N/A
AECOM Technology Corporation (ACM) CEO John Dionisio joined the show an talked about how the bridge collapse in Minneapolis was just the "tip of the iceberg" and there are 500 other bridges in the U.S. that are in the same shape. This was called one of the key plays in the infrastructure bull market by Jim. He thinks that they stand to gain from the country's need for maintain these structures. Dionisio told us that they are an environmentally friendly company. Jim called the CEO "money in the bank" and it is an "easy infrastructure play." Right now on a multiple basis the stock might be a bit expensive but if the price comes in pull the trigger.

-
BBY
Best Buy Co Inc - $43.54
- +0.95%
- $44.02
The weak U.S. dollar is causing Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) to take advantage and expand internationally. Circuit City Stores, Inc. (CC) is making excused for poor performance and blaming consumers for not spending enough, but BBY is leaving competition in the dust seeking out the likes of countries like Canada and China. Everyone is concerned about the U.S. dollar except BBY. Five years ago operating profits for them in Canada were around .5% of sales, now they are reaching 4%. Recently they bought a chain of electronic stores in China called Five Star. Sales are about 80% domestic and 20% international right now, but by 2010 they want a 50/50 split. They are looking to Turkey and Mexico in the future. A speculative international angle comes in with 3% ownership of Carphone Warehouse which is the largest cell phone retailer in Europe. This is first and foremost an American retailer and it needed the rate cut last week. A big buyback was just initiated also which is good reason to buy. Instead of companies that fail and make excuses you can go with a high growth stock that makes no excuses like BBY.

-
CCL
Carnival Corp - $32.65
- -0.18%
- $32.84
American's are strapped for cash and that means no expensive vacations. Europeans are not having these troubles and Carnival Corporation (CCL) was cited as a winner by Jim today. 34% of sales come from outside North America and Europe is growing. 24% of the world's cruise passengers come from Europe also and that number goes up 10% a year. By 2010 CCL is hoping to up its European fleet from 30% to 40% and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) only has 10% of its fleet in Europe. Jim wouldn't recommend the stock solely on this trend but the fundamentals are good as well. Advance bookings for the fourth quarter of 2007 and the first half of 2008 are ahead of last years numbers as well. Look at CCL.
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A. " I think that you've got to be
long here, despite the imminent monthly
jobs number."
um...yeah...youre correct...except you
can replace the comma above with one big
giantic period. The Fed (world
banks/govts) are practically holding a
gun to everyones head FORCING them to
take on risk (buy assets) - hands down
that trumpts any argument anywhere about
anything... Benanke made that very clear
weeks ago... yet the very obvious weekly
head fakes continues.
Who would want to fight the Fed here?
None of us retail folks should be
selling based on bogus scares (like ANY
bad numbers, Dubia, or any of the many
LAME reasons we've heard since August),
unless that selling is part of our plan.
I dont know why everyone is mincing
words (even Cramer, although today he
was a tiny bit more explicit). Just say
it!!! "There are absolutely no
reason to be afraid of the market,
people must escape falling currencies by
purchasing assests!!!"...which is
exactly what the Fed wants...when the
dust settles, JOBS WILL BE CREATED...at
least that appears to be the plan...The
Fed is at "DEFCON 1", an
election year is coming up...They are
forcing some stuff to be fixed here;
attacking from all sides; you will be
swashed trying to get in their way...at
least thats how I see right now (lol). I
do not know if things will work out for
them (Great Depression II?), but so far
theres nothing showing it will not. USA
rocks!!!
lol...I probably shouldnt be saying this
today; jinxing myself; because Im
expecting tomorrow is quiet or down (not
UP!!!!), so I can get grab some
goodies...I really shouldnt be
advertising how bogus it is...but yeah,
I cant really see anyone SERIOUSLY being
anti-long anywayz, so its not like
breaking news (lol).
To answer your question(s), my guess is
the numbers will be SPUN so that Friday
is a bad day ...just like the most of
the Fridays...lol...I am amazed that
such trickery works each week...but youd
better get ur shorts/inverses outta
there quick, cause you know what happens
next...same old story...even though I am
cant see this trickery working anymore
Fridays for the rest of the year.
Have Fun!
A. The only one I own : SLX,
too hard pick a winner out all of them
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