Date updated:03-12-2009
"The extrapolations -- the pin action -- today are amazing." - Jim Cramer

-
CVX
Chevron Corp - $79.64
- +0.77%
- $79.11
First is oil. As oil goes up to the high $40s, you can get a lot of money flooding back to this area, especially because the lead story in the business section of The New York Times is "Wondering if Crude Could Fall Even More." When you layer on the incredibly bullish conference run by Chevron (CVX), with its massive replenishment call of 148%, people are extrapolating the commodity prices and CVX.

-
FWLT
Foster Wheeler Ag - $31.40
- +0.54%
- $31.49
That's a big deal. It also spread to infrastructure, where we are getting an increased likelihood that big projects that have threatened to be held could get back on track. Foster Wheeler (FWLT) is the prime example of deals on hold killing a stock. It can go higher with the rest of them.

-
TXN
Texas Instruments - $25.42
- +0.55%
- $25.34
Next is tech: Last night, Texas Instruments (TXN) had some positive things to say about the inventories being low and some improvement in 3G demand.

-
RIMM
Research In Motio - $59.76
- +0.39%
- $59.69
That's easily extrapolated to just about every semi and handheld business from Research In Motion (RIMM) to Analog Devices (ADI) to Apple (AAPL) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS).

-
ADI
Analog Devices - $29.84
- +0.34%
- $29.49
That's easily extrapolated to just about every semi and handheld business from Research In Motion (RIMM) to Analog Devices (ADI) to Apple (AAPL) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS).

-
AAPL
Apple Inc. - $204.19
- -0.12%
- $205.50
That's easily extrapolated to just about every semi and handheld business from Research In Motion (RIMM) to Analog Devices (ADI) to Apple (AAPL) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS).

-
SWKS
Skyworks Solution - $12.53
- +0.08%
- $12.57
That's easily extrapolated to just about every semi and handheld business from Research In Motion (RIMM) to Analog Devices (ADI) to Apple (AAPL) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS).

-
GE
Gen Electric Co - $16.18
- +0.37%
- $16.24
Finally, there are the banks. First, Bernanke's ready to show forbearance on the banks by going "mark-to-market lite," meaning that there should be an adjustment in valuation against the lowest common denominator of real estate. That moves every financial and the faux financials like General Electric (GE). They are all battling strict mark-to-market, and if we got mark-to-market lite and forbearance, then the stocks are incredibly cheap and ready to roll.
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A. How much hype are we going to get? ...
"The Sovereign debt funds the
latest to be in jeopardy." Blah,
Blah, Blah … A new Boggy Woggy for the
bears. IMHO, the talking heads are
going to have a field day EVEN IF a
short term debt solution is worked out.
So, while I certainly don't KNOW, the
risk to reward is with the bears. I plan
to cash out my longs early in the
session. Hoping to catch the market
makers asleep with all that turkey.
Sometimes it isn’t stupid to panic
lite.
Also, if debt is called, it is often
denominated in dollars that can lead to
a short term rise in the dollar’s
value, i.e., a physical shortage of the
paper, 2T dollars out there about 50T in
dollar denominated debt.
But, man, would I like to hear other
thoughts. Certainly is interesting how
this was timed. What BS!
A. The only one I own : SLX,
too hard pick a winner out all of them
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