Contest Stocks II
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average rating: 3.41 / 12 ratings
Created by James Altucher
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:04-13-2007

This is like going in the gutter and turning over every rock to try and find a million dollar bill. That said, if you were turning over rocks, these are the stocks you would hope to find. These are not stocks for a 401K plan. Just stocks that can pop 40-50% on any good news at all.

Looking at all stocks that have any potential catalyst in the near term. I also relied heavily on 2 portfolios on Stockpickr:

Stocks Most Volatile on Earnings Day:
This consists of the S&P 500's 20 most volatile stocks on their earnings report days.

10 Short Squeezes:
This portfolio consists of stocks with high short-interest ratios and high insider buying thus may get "short squeezed".

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • SNDK
    Sandisk Corporati
  • $20.31
  • +2.47%
  • $19.95

- tends to move 12% up or down on avg. on day after earnings. - 33% off of highs - trades for just 10x cash flows - YHOO Sansa player can create upside surprise - Reporting earnings on 4/26

People owning SNDK also tend to own: AIRNAUYEFIIFXIHLKGCSPN

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • UPS
    United Parcel Svc
  • $58.20
  • +0.48%
  • $58.02

- 16% below 52 week high - Warren Buffett is a holder - probably a better long term play than contest play but earnings on 4/25 - Trades for 8.5x cash flow

People owning UPS also tend to own: COPCOSTCSCOIACIMRVLNWSQCOM

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • MOT
    Motorola Inc
  • $8.28
  • +1.10%
  • $8.20

- Call on Wednesday - Icahn pushing for change - Snapback potential if there is any good news at all. - Trades for 6x cash flow

People owning MOT also tend to own: CCLXCVSGOOGGSHDJNJ

TheStreet.com Rating: D+ What is this?

  • +
  • ANDW
    Andw
  • $0.00
  • N/A
  • $N/A

- moves 9% on the day after earnings day on average - reports earnings on 5/3 - copper prices stabilizing could create upside surprise in margins - they've had 2 quarters to adjust to the Alcatel-Lucent merger so I think forwad guideance could be a surprise - 12mm shares short - Chapman, super activist, is a shareholder. My guess is he's found additional ways for them to cut costs. - They were once a takeover target but deal fell through. Could be a target again.

People owning ANDW also tend to own: ABTABXAAMZNAVBAXBIOMCOP

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • JOSB
    Jos. A. Bank Clot
  • $42.30
  • +1.34%
  • $41.66

- stock fell 13% the other day when they reported a lower than expected same-store sales increase. The market ignored the fact that same store sales were still 10% higher year over year. - company trades for less than 10x cash flows with double digit growth - 7.6mm shares short, so a 18 day short ratio - earnings per share expected to go from 1.95 in 2006 to 2.24 for fiscal 2007 to 2.54 for fiscal 2008 - Earnings are on April 17 (Tuesday)

People owning JOSB also tend to own: ABTDGXEPDFMDGSKJNJJTX

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • RFMD
    Rf Micro Devices
  • $4.44
  • +0.68%
  • $4.47

- shares have fallen since MOT guided lower. 20% of their sales come from MOT. What they haven't said yet is how much NOK is stealing MOT's market share. 40% of RFMD's sales come from NOK. - They trade for 13.5x 2007 earnings (expected). 8x cash flows - Down 30% off of highs - 30mm shares short - Earnings report on 4/24

People owning RFMD also tend to own: MRSTPANGNAOBBITSBRCDCHINA

TheStreet.com Rating: D- What is this?

  • +
  • OXPS
    Optionsxpress Hol
  • $15.60
  • +0.71%
  • $15.52

- earnings Thursday - trades for 10x cash flows - 25% Year over year growth so its valued very cheap. - And if you don't believe me, the CEO had this to say in a recent interview with Marketwatch: ""consolidation is the one constant that remains in our industry" – David Kalt, CEO. - options are growing faster than ever as hedge funds use them to hedge and the retail investor is coming back - Company is about 30% off of its 52 week highs. - Exceeded estimates in the past 4 quarters, each quarter - Analysts have upped estimates for this quarter in the past 90 days. - OXPS is a takeover target with consolidation

People owning OXPS also tend to own: APNS.OBAVNRDSCOEBHIECPGEVICGE

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • BHS
    Brookfield Homes
  • $6.00
  • -5.21%
  • $6.33

- Short interest ratio: 23 - Insider Buying: $2M - Earnings May 4 - CEO bought $2mm worth of stock in past few weeks Home builder Brookfield Homes Corp. announced April 5th that net new home orders for the first quarter totaled 286 units, up from 227 in the year-ago period, despite a nationwide downturn in the housing market.

People owning BHS also tend to own: DGFAGIXFDCINTCJHMNIMPX

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

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