Chart Smarts: Feb 2 2009
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Date updated:02-02-2009

Let’s get technical. Technical analysis uses chart patterns to determine where stock prices are going in the short term. That’s a potentially profitable tool to have – one that RealMoney.com’s Dan Fitzpatrick is a pro at.

Let's take a look at Fitzpatrick’s "3 Stocks I Saw on TV" video series and decipher what he's had to say lately about stock ideas he's found on TheStreet.com, “Fast Money” and “Mad Money."

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • XOM
    Exxon Mobil Cp
  • $72.58
  • +0.11%
  • $71.82

Good earnings last week pushed Exxon Mobil to rally higher, but the highs and lows are starting to converge on this stock – a bearish sign that suggests downside is ahead. Still, Fitzpatrick warned against shorting this one because he things that oil has bottomed. If you’re already long, he recommended placing a stop around $73.50 to keep your gains, otherwise he said to wait until Exxon breaks through its 200-day moving average before getting in.

People owning XOM also tend to own: AAAIGIBMINTCJNJJPMKO

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • BAC
    Bk Of America Cp
  • $15.05
  • -0.53%
  • $14.94

“If you’re buying Bank of America, you’re gambling,” warned Fitzpatrick. Right now the stock is $1.58 above it ultimate support line of $5 (the absolute low the stock is willing to go). He recommended against going long BAC because the risk is just too much right now.

People owning BAC also tend to own: AAPLGOOGINTCMSFTRACKCFCASH

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • WFC
    Wells Fargo & Co
  • $27.12
  • -0.62%
  • $26.72

Wells Fargo’s chart gapped up big time a week or two ago (meaning that its open price was substantially higher than its closing price the previous day), but unlike the other big banks, its price hasn’t fallen back down into the gap. As long as it keeps going sideways, it’ll reaffirm support at this higher level – that’s definitely a good thing for those who own it now. If it falls into the gap, Fitzpatrick warned to stay away.

People owning WFC also tend to own: ACEBACCCBCOPCVXDIS

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • CHK
    Chesapeake Energy
  • $24.22
  • -2.42%
  • $24.42

This stock has seen two big pullbacks recently. The most recent one was big, but didn’t push as far below the lower Bollinger band (an indicator that measures a stock’s volatility) as the one before it did, suggesting that downside volatility is on the decline, and that a discernable support line (the price a stock has trouble falling below) is forming. Both are good signs. Still, Fitzpatrick recommended against buying this one just yet – “…wait for $13.75,” he said.

People owning CHK also tend to own: ACIAINVANRAPCBBDBTUCMCSK

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • K
    Kellogg Co
  • $52.20
  • -0.06%
  • $52.10

“I agree with [Jim Cramer], I think you want to be going with these consumer staples here,” said Fitzpatrick. Kellogg saw a deep low in early December, and now the stock’s just above its moving average (the average price over a set number of days – a key technical indicator). A nice 3.1% dividend yield sweetens the pot for this potential long-term play. Fitzpatrick recommended waiting for $48.50 to buy into the cereal maker, with a protective stop around $43.

People owning K also tend to own: JCGLVLTMTUNWSPFESBUXSGP

TheStreet.com Rating: B+ What is this?

  • +
  • AMZN
    Amazon.com
  • $126.20
  • +4.63%
  • $123.00

“This is a good ‘don’t buy’ stock,” warned Fitzpatrick. Good earnings announced last week caused its price to gap up after trading – meaning that is price increased significantly between one day’s market close and the next day’s open. Since Amazon’s price gapped up to its resistance level, Fitzpatrick was anxious about the stock’s potential for the week. “This is a risk trade,” he said, adding, “…just stand aside, let this thing lay its course, and know that Amazon the company is still doing a pretty good job.”

People owning AMZN also tend to own: AAPLAMTATHRBEASCTSHEMCGOOG

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • JPM
    Jp Morgan Chase C
  • $43.48
  • -0.89%
  • $43.14

According to Jim Cramer, there are only two banks worth buying right now – JP Morgan and Wells Fargo. But Fizpatrick’s not convinced… at least not yet. The 50-day moving average is defining highs for JPM right now, which means that the stock is likely to pullback soon. “If I owned this right now, I’d be selling to take profits, then reload later at a lower price. That’s not predicting, that’s trading,” explained Fitzpatrick.

People owning JPM also tend to own: AAAIGIBMINTCJNJKOMSFT

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • MKC
    Mccormick & Co
  • $35.06
  • +0.11%
  • $34.89

Merck has come out of a small volatility squeeze lately, a period of low volatility where the stock trades in a tight range – it’s generally an indicator that the stock is ready to breakout either up or down. Fitzpatrick recommended taking a position closer to support around $30. Right now, Fitzpatrick thinks RAH makes for a better trade.

People owning MKC also tend to own: AGRAVCOPCVSHLTIBMMSFT

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

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