Date updated:11-08-2009
PRIMARY STRATEGY: Long Term . . .
Invest (more than 12 months) in
equities having price leverage,
wide competitive moat, and will
thrive in weak US dollar or
inflationary environment. Will
sell holding if stock falters or
rises too far, too fast or
languishes for too long -
relative to total market.
First Component:
Fossil Fuel & Alternative Energy
Second Component:
Precious metals, Mining,
Natural resources/Ag
Third Component:
Technology, Medical/Health &
Shipping/Transportation
SECONDARY STRATEGY: Short Term -
Trade opportunity situations
with time horizon of less than
12 months. Stocks that are
oversold, having high put/call
ratio, possible merge, or likely
to present earning surprises.
Having high sales to price ratio,
quick turnaround situations or
companies positioned to take
advantage of market conditions.
Currently there are no short term
trade positions.
RESOURCES/SUBSCRIPTIONS:
The Complete Investor
by Stephen Leeb
Daily Market Update
by Yin Lin
Uncommon Wisdon
Brodrick & Edelson
Oil n Gold
Hard Investments Investor
***********SPECIAL NOTES***********
* Stock splits and current cost
basis of each holding listed
in stock descriptions.
* Cash: 0.008% Fully Invested
CURRENT PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK -
Portfolio valuation has
decreased 3.47% in past two
weeks.
Consideration List - to buy:
None currently
Consideration List - to sell:
Anticipate closing out NUE by
year end 2009.
13 of the 31 positions (a
decrease of 2) are currently
in the green from original
purchase date.
AGU attempt to takeover CF
still in play . . . while CF
still is making an effort to
team up with Terra Industries.
Latest update: Nov 08, 2009
Recalculate position
percentages.

-
RIG
Transocean Ltd - $85.22
- -2.37%
- $86.88
One of the few participants and a leader in deepwater oil drilling. Contract fees are (economically) protected in tightening market. Date Acquired 03/16/07 $76.79/share Merge with GSF 11/27/07: current adj cost basis $75.97/sh Date Acquired 11/21/07 @ $121.45/share Merge with GSF 11/27/07: current adj cost basis $119.42/sh Date Acquired 03/30/07 as GSF @ $61.95 current adj cost basis $130.71/sh Sold portion 03/16/08 @ $55.05 3.175% of portfolio

-
AGU
Agrium Inc. - $57.19
- +0.51%
- $56.37
Ag retailer and fertilizer producer for North and South American markets which will increase sales due to growing demand for food stuff (eat and fuel). Pricing is strengthened due to recent purchase of competitor. Consistantly trades above 50 day moving average with income growth projected to exceed 150%. Strength of stock valuation has been in 90% for past 12 months. Vote of whether to take over CF will be made in near future. Date Acquired 12/24/07 $68.08/share 2.771% of portfolio

-
CF
Cf Ind Hldgs Inc - $82.87
- -3.96%
- $83.60
Fertilizer production with very respectable PE of about 25. Recently purchased facility in Switzerland to increase product output. Announcement dated 10/24/07 that CF added to S&P Midcap 400. Vote of whether AGU will take over CF will be made in near future. Date Acquired 10/17/07 $75.68/share 3.692% of portfolio

-
CLB
Core Labs Nv - $106.75
- -1.88%
- $107.80
Oil & gas service company that facilitates the efficiency in energy patch. Trend that will stay healthy into the transition of accepting and implementing an alternative energy source. Date Acquired 05/04/06 $66.92/share 05/13/09 $86.13/share 4.538% of portfolio

-
FCX
Freeport Mcmoran - $84.72
- +0.04%
- $83.91
Play based upon not much downside risk as well as continual inflation theme. Positive is Moody's recently upgraded FCX credit rating. Also, factoring in prior takeover, the projected numbers reflect 50/50 chance/opportunity to double share price in 3 years time frame - beating rule of 72. Date Acquired 03/28/07 $65.71/share Date Acquired 07/10/07 $89.24/share 5.688% of portfolio

-
FTI
Fmc Technologies - $55.59
- -2.39%
- $56.49
Designs, manufactures and services subsea production and processing systems for oil industry. Projected sales increase greater than 20% and income growth greater than 50% for coming year. Stock value has had high strength for past year and stock price likely to increase 15% for year ahead. Date Acquired 08/31/07 $94.45/share Split 2 for 1 09/03/07 cost basis $47.23/share 4.535% of portfolio

-
CAM
Cameron Intl Cp - $38.78
- -4.46%
- $40.49
International oil support manufacturer (pressure/separator, valve, wellhead, blow-out preventers) for on-shore, off-shore and deep-sea drilling. About a 3.5 billion dollar company should have room to run. Date Acquired 03/30/07 $63.94/share Stock Split 2 for 1: 12/27/07 $31.97/share basis 05/13/09 $27.73/share 4.189% of portfolio

-
AUY
Yamana Gold Inc - $13.32
- 0.00%
- $N/A
Gold and copper interests. Protection against weak US dollar and headge against moderately increasing world pricing environment. Operating in relatively safe latin America region. Copper demand should remain strong for water supply lines in growing emerging regions and for battery components. Sales growth projected to be quite significant increase in coming year. Recently merged with another mining operation which (regardless of additional stock issuance) should translate favorably to current stockholders with increased supply and effiiciency of mining operations. Date Acquired 04/19/07 $14.74/share Date Acquired 05/07/07 $13.32/share Date Acquired 07/02/08 $16.31/share 3.526% of portfolio
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A. Long term investment considerations: 20%
in OIH ETF; 10% in GDX ETF and 10% in
GDXJ (Van Eck Jr Gold Mining) ETF . . .
If your grandparents were thoughtful
enough to provide you with funds to
become actively involved in the
trading/investing world, communicate
with them on a regular basis in order to
compare their point of view/insight with
other reliable sources . . . including
those reflected on Online School @
http://www.onlineschools.org/2009/10/22/
100-best-blogs-for-future-investors/
and ValueWiki @
http://blog.valuewiki.com/2007/02/26/top
-100-finance-blogs/
Be open/flexible, resourceful, and
pursue due diligence (research). Best of
luck.
A. The only one I own : SLX,
too hard pick a winner out all of them
Here are some of the biggest stocks that made the 52-week high list on Nov. 20, 2009. more
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Analyst Downgrades or Estimate Reductions for Nov. 20, 2009. Read more here. more













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