Bloom & Gloom
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average rating: 4.00 / 3 ratings
Created by Robert Blum
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:11-08-2009

PRIMARY STRATEGY: Long Term . . .
Invest (more than 12 months) in
equities having price leverage,
wide competitive moat, and will
thrive in weak US dollar or
inflationary environment. Will
sell holding if stock falters or
rises too far, too fast or
languishes for too long -
relative to total market.

First Component:
Fossil Fuel & Alternative Energy

Second Component:
Precious metals, Mining,
Natural resources/Ag

Third Component:
Technology, Medical/Health &
Shipping/Transportation

SECONDARY STRATEGY: Short Term -
Trade opportunity situations
with time horizon of less than
12 months. Stocks that are
oversold, having high put/call
ratio, possible merge, or likely
to present earning surprises.
Having high sales to price ratio,
quick turnaround situations or
companies positioned to take
advantage of market conditions.

Currently there are no short term
trade positions.

RESOURCES/SUBSCRIPTIONS:

The Complete Investor
by Stephen Leeb

Daily Market Update
by Yin Lin

Uncommon Wisdon
Brodrick & Edelson

Oil n Gold

Hard Investments Investor

***********SPECIAL NOTES***********

* Stock splits and current cost
basis of each holding listed
in stock descriptions.

* Cash: 0.008% Fully Invested

CURRENT PORTFOLIO OUTLOOK -
Portfolio valuation has
decreased 3.47% in past two
weeks.

Consideration List - to buy:
None currently

Consideration List - to sell:
Anticipate closing out NUE by
year end 2009.

13 of the 31 positions (a
decrease of 2) are currently
in the green from original
purchase date.

AGU attempt to takeover CF
still in play . . . while CF
still is making an effort to
team up with Terra Industries.

Latest update: Nov 08, 2009
Recalculate position
percentages.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • RIG
    Transocean Ltd
  • $85.22
  • -2.37%
  • $86.88

One of the few participants and a leader in deepwater oil drilling. Contract fees are (economically) protected in tightening market. Date Acquired 03/16/07 $76.79/share Merge with GSF 11/27/07: current adj cost basis $75.97/sh Date Acquired 11/21/07 @ $121.45/share Merge with GSF 11/27/07: current adj cost basis $119.42/sh Date Acquired 03/30/07 as GSF @ $61.95 current adj cost basis $130.71/sh Sold portion 03/16/08 @ $55.05 3.175% of portfolio

People owning RIG also tend to own: GSFHPNBRAAPLADBEBBYCMCSA

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • AGU
    Agrium Inc.
  • $57.19
  • +0.51%
  • $56.37

Ag retailer and fertilizer producer for North and South American markets which will increase sales due to growing demand for food stuff (eat and fuel). Pricing is strengthened due to recent purchase of competitor. Consistantly trades above 50 day moving average with income growth projected to exceed 150%. Strength of stock valuation has been in 90% for past 12 months. Vote of whether to take over CF will be made in near future. Date Acquired 12/24/07 $68.08/share 2.771% of portfolio

People owning AGU also tend to own: AEMDNNNLSPOTRCISUTCK

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CF
    Cf Ind Hldgs Inc
  • $82.87
  • -3.96%
  • $83.60

Fertilizer production with very respectable PE of about 25. Recently purchased facility in Switzerland to increase product output. Announcement dated 10/24/07 that CF added to S&P Midcap 400. Vote of whether AGU will take over CF will be made in near future. Date Acquired 10/17/07 $75.68/share 3.692% of portfolio

People owning CF also tend to own: JBSSPBYSUAITBACTECUATRACDE

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CLB
    Core Labs Nv
  • $106.75
  • -1.88%
  • $107.80

Oil & gas service company that facilitates the efficiency in energy patch. Trend that will stay healthy into the transition of accepting and implementing an alternative energy source. Date Acquired 05/04/06 $66.92/share 05/13/09 $86.13/share 4.538% of portfolio

People owning CLB also tend to own: BABDCBTJETREVEPGNBTGS

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • FCX
    Freeport Mcmoran
  • $84.72
  • +0.04%
  • $83.91

Play based upon not much downside risk as well as continual inflation theme. Positive is Moody's recently upgraded FCX credit rating. Also, factoring in prior takeover, the projected numbers reflect 50/50 chance/opportunity to double share price in 3 years time frame - beating rule of 72. Date Acquired 03/28/07 $65.71/share Date Acquired 07/10/07 $89.24/share 5.688% of portfolio

People owning FCX also tend to own: AAPLBLE.TOCHINACTRPELR.TOEMUFMCN

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • FTI
    Fmc Technologies
  • $55.59
  • -2.39%
  • $56.49

Designs, manufactures and services subsea production and processing systems for oil industry. Projected sales increase greater than 20% and income growth greater than 50% for coming year. Stock value has had high strength for past year and stock price likely to increase 15% for year ahead. Date Acquired 08/31/07 $94.45/share Split 2 for 1 09/03/07 cost basis $47.23/share 4.535% of portfolio

People owning FTI also tend to own: AAPLALJLINEABXAEMAGUAU

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CAM
    Cameron Intl Cp
  • $38.78
  • -4.46%
  • $40.49

International oil support manufacturer (pressure/separator, valve, wellhead, blow-out preventers) for on-shore, off-shore and deep-sea drilling. About a 3.5 billion dollar company should have room to run. Date Acquired 03/30/07 $63.94/share Stock Split 2 for 1: 12/27/07 $31.97/share basis 05/13/09 $27.73/share 4.189% of portfolio

People owning CAM also tend to own: CEOCLBCOPDODRYSFCXFDG

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • AUY
    Yamana Gold Inc
  • $13.32
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

Gold and copper interests. Protection against weak US dollar and headge against moderately increasing world pricing environment. Operating in relatively safe latin America region. Copper demand should remain strong for water supply lines in growing emerging regions and for battery components. Sales growth projected to be quite significant increase in coming year. Recently merged with another mining operation which (regardless of additional stock issuance) should translate favorably to current stockholders with increased supply and effiiciency of mining operations. Date Acquired 04/19/07 $14.74/share Date Acquired 05/07/07 $13.32/share Date Acquired 07/02/08 $16.31/share 3.526% of portfolio

People owning AUY also tend to own: BDYIMAXAIRNEFIIFXIHLKGC

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

RIG 47.25 +80.36% Jan 2nd
AGU 34.13 +67.57% Jan 2nd
CF 49.16 +68.57% Jan 2nd
CLB 59.86 +78.33% Jan 2nd
FCX 24.44 +246.64% Jan 2nd
FTI 23.83 +133.28% Jan 2nd
CAM 20.50 +89.17% Jan 2nd
AUY 7.80 +70.77% Jan 2nd
NOV 24.44 +79.34% Jan 2nd
DRYS 11.17 -41.54% Jan 2nd
KGC 18.42 +5.65% Jan 2nd
NVDA 8.12 +59.85% Jan 2nd
LDK 13.36 -42.14% Jan 2nd
AEM 51.80 +19.13% Jan 2nd
PAAS 17.15 +46.71% Jan 2nd
XTO 35.27 +18.03% Jan 2nd
PBR 24.49 +108.41% Jan 2nd
CFX 10.24 +14.84% Jan 2nd
ABX 36.86 +20.29% Jan 2nd
PDE 15.98 +98.00% Jan 2nd
NUE 46.20 -10.78% Jan 2nd
ENER 25.63 -58.92% Jan 2nd
BHP 60.08 +23.44% Aug 10th
GG 38.90 +13.14% Aug 10th
EGO 10.13 +33.46% Aug 10th
HAWK 25.78 +2.21% Sep 4th
AU 41.87 +6.28% Sep 17th
RDC 22.34 +13.74% Sep 17th
VALE 25.22 +12.77% Oct 13th
SLW 13.87 +14.42% Oct 13th
NG 4.97 +7.24% Nov 4th

Average return:

+34.50%

Success rate:

87.1%

Deleted Stocks:

FSLR 137.85 +33.84% Jan 2nd
MOS 35.19 +59.05% Jan 2nd
SQM 24.30 +51.85% Jan 2nd
FLR 44.87 +11.88% Jan 2nd
XIDE 5.35 +23.55% Jan 5th

Hated Stocks:

HEB 0.37 +178.38% Jan 2nd

Tracking Started: 03-30-2007

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11.20.09 | 23:08 PM Asked by Amanda Bowen

A. Long term investment considerations: 20%
in OIH ETF; 10% in GDX ETF and 10% in
GDXJ (Van Eck Jr Gold Mining) ETF . . .
If your grandparents were thoughtful
enough to provide you with funds to
become actively involved in the
trading/investing world, communicate
with them on a regular basis in order to
compare their point of view/insight with
other reliable sources . . . including
those reflected on Online School @
http://www.onlineschools.org/2009/10/22/
100-best-blogs-for-future-investors/
and ValueWiki @
http://blog.valuewiki.com/2007/02/26/top
-100-finance-blogs/

Be open/flexible, resourceful, and
pursue due diligence (research). Best of
luck.

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