Bloom & Gloom
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Rate Now: 1 2 3 4

average rating: 4.00 / 3 ratings
Created by Robert Blum
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:05-16-2008

Primary Component:
Fossil Fuel & Alternative Energy

Secondary Component:
Commodities, mining, natural
resources and precious metals

Third Component:
Technical and Medical.

Strategy: Plan for long term
investment (more than 12 months)
in industries with price
leverage, wide competitive moat,
and will thrive in weak US
dollar environment. Will
sell/trade holding if stock
falters or rises too far, too
fast or languishes for too long.

Fourth Component:
Opportunity situations.

Strategy: Short term (less than 12
months). Stocks that are
oversold, having high put/call
ratio, possible merge, or likely
to present earning surprises.
Having high sales to price ratio,
quick turnaround situations or
companies positioned to take
advantage of market conditions.

Resources/Subscriptions:

The Complete Investor and
The Income Performance Letter
by Stephen Leeb

Schaeffer's Investment Research
by Bernie Schaeffer.

Energy and Capital

Energy Investment Strategies
by Jim Kingsdale - no charge

Fee-based services for consideration:

Zacks and Stock Market Mentor

***********SPECIAL NOTES***********

* Cash: 1.292% of portfolio

* Stock splits and current cost
basis of each holding listed
in stock descriptions.

* Latest update: 05/15/08
Swap out of STP for ABX

Current laggards (in the red):
KGC, LDK, PAAS, AEM, CSR
representing 17.86% of
portfolio. Total portfolio
value currently 3.7% below all-
time high.

Current short term holdings: ADCT

On the consideration to buy list:
ABX. Could swap 1/2 PCU position
to create ABX position.

On consideration to swap list:
A portion of NVDA when it
surpasses its former high levels.

Efforts will be made to focus on decreasing portfolio holdings to 25 within 12 months (by May 2009).

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • WFR
    Memc Electronic M
  • $72.34
  • +3.37%
  • $70.67

Has good handle on supply of silicon as well as maintaining percentage ownership in smaller clients - extending and leveraging their likelihood of future success in the solar power industrial environment. Date Acquired 06/13/05 @ $15.38/share 3.338% of portfolio

People owning WFR also tend to own: ENERHTELUKMICCPSQXTOQQQQ

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • RIG
    Transocean Inc
  • $155.40
  • +5.57%
  • $150.30

One of the few participants and a leader in deepwater oil drilling. Contract fees are (economically) protected in tightening market. Date Acquired 03/16/07 @ $ 76.79/share Merge with GSF 11/27/07: current adj cost basis $75.97/sh Date Acquired 11/21/07 @ $121.45/share Merge with GSF 11/27/07: current adj cost basis $119.42/sh Date Acquired 03/30/07 as GSF @ $61.95 current adj cost basis $130.71/sh 5.028% of portfolio

People owning RIG also tend to own: ABKBBDCFCDEFCXFREFWLT

TheStreet.com Rating: A- What is this?

  • +
  • AGU
    Agrium Inc.
  • $89.05
  • +2.73%
  • $87.70

Ag retailer and fertilizer producer for North and South American markets which will increase sales due to growing demand for food stuff (eat and fuel). Pricing is strengthened due to recent purchase of competitor. Consistantly trades above 50 day moving average with income growth projected to exceed 150%. Strength of stock valuation has been in 90% for past 12 months. Date Acquired 12/24/07 @ $68.08/share 2.897% of portfolio

People owning AGU also tend to own: AAPLAPAJECMRKPOTPTMRIG

TheStreet.com Rating: A+ What is this?

  • +
  • CF
    Cf Ind Hldgs Inc
  • $138.73
  • +1.81%
  • $136.64

Fertilizer production with very respectable PE of about 25. Recently purchased facility in Switzerland to increase product output. Announcement dated 10/24/07 that CF added to S&P Midcap 400. Date Acquired 10/17/07 @ $75.68/share 3.862% of portfolio

People owning CF also tend to own: AEMDEDRYSPOTTNHVDSIJBSS

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • CLB
    Core Labs Nv
  • $134.69
  • +1.98%
  • $132.77

Oil & gas service company that facilitates the efficiency in energy patch. Trend that will stay healthy into the transition of accepting and implementing an alternative energy source. Date Acquired 05/04/06 @ $66.92/share 2.618% of portfolio

People owning CLB also tend to own: BABDCBTJETREVEPGNBTGS

TheStreet.com Rating: B+ What is this?

  • +
  • SLT
    Sterlite Ind Ltd
  • $20.92
  • +2.15%
  • $20.50

One of two primary mining operations in India. What would not be used within India will have ready market to China - selling copper and alluminum. Mines also located in Africa and Australia - considered safe zones which will not be disrupted in operations. SLT chosen above TGB, BVN and BAJFF which were not as consistant and a bit shaky with the numbers going forward as well as the fundamentals. Date Acquired 06/20/07 @ $14.96/share 1.998% of portfolio

People owning SLT also tend to own: BABKCHYDELDHGGRCITT

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • CSR
    China Security
  • $19.67
  • +1.92%
  • $19.40

Chinese security company selling, installing and service provider, currently going to digital equipment. May or may not sell with target of $35/share in mind. Date Acquired 09/21/07 @ $21.75/share 1.909% of portfolio

People owning CSR also tend to own: ABXADCTAEMAGUAUYCAMCF

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • FSLR
    First Solar
  • $306.78
  • -0.38%
  • $312.00

Compelling alternative energy company thesis as presented by Greg Spears dated Dec 2006: first solar energy company to be able to market with massive scalability, thin film applied to glass, using non-silicon material; relatively quick production time (efficient); backlog of multiple-year sales to non residential customers (utilities and system integrators). Company seems to have an increase of other investment stalwarts providing additional basis for interest of this profit producing entity that became public in Nov 2006.Although there has been a respectable runup in price within past 45 days, there seems to be no negative news to throw FSLR off course for this long term play. Date Acquired 03/08/07 @ $51.10/share Date Acquired 03/09/07 @ $53.80/share Partial Sale 03/10/08 @ $186.00/share Partial Buy 05/10/08 @ $282.78/share 6.064% of portfolio

People owning FSLR also tend to own: CNXTEWZIFNIFUE.OBMMCAAPLADM

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date

WFR 87.69 -17.50% Jan 3rd
RIG 145.95 +6.47% Jan 3rd
AGU 71.35 +24.81% Jan 3rd
CF 110.61 +25.42% Jan 3rd
CLB 125.83 +7.04% Jan 3rd
SLT 25.83 -19.01% Jan 3rd
CSR 21.85 -9.98% Jan 3rd
FSLR 267.70 +14.60% Jan 3rd
FCX 103.29 +15.63% Jan 3rd
FTI 57.23 +36.66% Jan 3rd
CAM 49.93 +7.49% Jan 3rd
AUY 13.87 +5.05% Jan 3rd
NOV 75.36 +1.14% Jan 3rd
PCU 106.59 +2.13% Jan 3rd
MOS 94.74 +36.09% Jan 3rd
DRYS 78.11 +36.35% Jan 3rd
MATK 29.68 +15.23% Jan 3rd
NVDA 33.01 -27.96% Jan 3rd
WFR 87.69 -17.50% Jan 3rd
RIG 145.95 +6.47% Jan 3rd
AGU 71.35 +24.81% Jan 3rd
CF 110.61 +25.42% Jan 3rd
CLB 125.83 +7.04% Jan 3rd
SLT 25.83 -19.01% Jan 3rd
CSR 21.85 -9.98% Jan 3rd
FSLR 267.70 +14.60% Jan 3rd
FCX 103.29 +15.63% Jan 3rd
FTI 57.23 +36.66% Jan 3rd
CAM 49.93 +7.49% Jan 3rd
AUY 13.87 +5.05% Jan 3rd
NOV 75.36 +1.14% Jan 3rd
PCU 106.59 +2.13% Jan 3rd
MOS 94.74 +36.09% Jan 3rd
DRYS 78.11 +36.35% Jan 3rd
MATK 29.68 +15.23% Jan 3rd
NVDA 33.01 -27.96% Jan 3rd
MON 120.92 +2.28% Jan 4th
LDK 43.30 -16.54% Jan 10th
KGC 22.54 +19.08% Jan 29th
AEM 70.32 -4.85% Mar 11th
ADCT 12.23 +25.67% Mar 17th
PAAS 42.53 -17.05% Mar 17th
SQM 214.98 -86.29% Mar 17th
XTO 66.16 -4.82% May 9th
PBR 65.70 +3.91% May 13th
CFX 20.89 +15.13% May 13th
ABX 39.16 0.00% May 16th

Average return:

+7.02%

Success rate:

72.34%

Deleted Stocks:

D 46.52 +2.62% Jan 3rd
STP 85.96 -45.18% Jan 3rd
RIO 32.71 +3.39% Jan 3rd
ENER 32.38 +54.14% Jan 3rd
NE 56.88 -23.03% Jan 3rd
BHP 70.41 -6.04% Jan 3rd
FTK 36.07 -53.98% Jan 3rd
GHM 56.00 -37.77% Jan 3rd
TRA 47.21 -6.71% Jan 3rd
SIRI 3.05 -10.49% Jan 3rd
IMPUY 0.00 ------ Jan 3rd
D 46.52 +2.62% Jan 3rd
STP 85.96 -45.18% Jan 3rd
RIO 32.71 +3.39% Jan 3rd
ENER 32.38 +54.14% Jan 3rd
NE 56.88 -23.03% Jan 3rd
BHP 70.41 -6.04% Jan 3rd
FTK 36.07 -53.98% Jan 3rd
GHM 56.00 -37.77% Jan 3rd
TRA 47.21 -6.71% Jan 3rd
SIRI 3.05 -10.49% Jan 3rd
IMPUY 0.00 ------ Jan 3rd

Hated Stocks:

HEB 0.81 -8.64% Jan 3rd
HEB 0.81 -8.64% Jan 3rd

Tracking Started: 03-30-2007

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Q. Anyone think the 10yr S&P chart ...
05.16.08 | 19:07 PM Asked by srea75

A. Look @ this moment on what's happening
now. I like the now. I learn from the
past, but you have to look forward in
this game. Why don't you do a press
date search of market times of them 2
tops and try to see what is different or
similar to what we're going through
right now. Techs love this crap. I
like to use both. I don't rely on 1
tool. I rely on several tools. Right
now, we are in a slow down, and the $
was lower 12yrs ago, than it's today.
Tech has brought in so much slack to
make us efficient and productive. Ships
are moving out with our wares. It used
to be they left empty. Our economy is
changing & we must learn to be dynamic.
We all can. We have the basic fundies
to learn, thus we can teach ourselves
new skills.

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