Bear in Bull's Clothing
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average rating: 2.50 / 2 ratings
Created by justin510
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:04-17-2007

Since 2003, our market has been a bear in bull's clothing and it is finally beginning to be revealed. I believe we are in the middle of a secular bear market which will hurt anyone who believes in "Stocks for the Long Run". The misinterpretation of an equity risk premium has turned it into and equity risk DISCOUNT, so the best strategy is to be invested in a absolute return portfolio with disciplined risk taking.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • UUP
    Ps Db Usd Idx Bl
  • $25.15
  • -0.16%
  • $25.40

This stock is a bit contrarian in a sense because our dollar has been on a path to $0, since 1973. I do think however, that there are many catalysts that could lead to a bull run on the greenback in the next few years. I believe that the dollar is being hurt by our low savings rate, as we choose to consume more items that are made in Asia. I see this trend reversing as credit tightens, and the John and Jane Dough realize that they must inevitabably save. This will provide banks with more capital at hand so that they don't have to rely on the printing press to give them collatteral for shady loans. Catalysts include shrinking budget deficits due to a possible Iraq war pullout, an revaluation of the Yuan and bull market in the Yen as well as a slowdown in Consumer Spending. I contend that a small position should be initiated and the dollar should be bought on any weakness going forward.

People owning UUP also tend to own: ALDAUYBACCELGCERNCOGCOST

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • AIG
    Amer Intl Group I
  • $1.74
  • +4.82%
  • $1.70

No Analysis added

People owning AIG also tend to own: AAIBMINTCJNJJPMKOMSFT

TheStreet.com Rating: D+ What is this?

  • +
  • RTN
    Raytheon Co (new)
  • $51.79
  • -1.33%
  • $52.49

No Analysis added

People owning RTN also tend to own: BACCCATCCJCOPCVXDE

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • SGK
    Schawk Inc
  • $11.32
  • +2.72%
  • $11.09

No Analysis added

People owning SGK also tend to own: AHGALOCPEFDESVFEDICTG

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • RIG
    Transocean Ltd
  • $56.92
  • +4.79%
  • $56.44

No Analysis added

People owning RIG also tend to own: GSFHPNBRAAPLADBEBBYCMCSA

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • HHJ
    Healthshares Emer
  • $15.54
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

No Analysis added

People owning HHJ also tend to own: CSDDSIFVIOTPPKWPYHRYT

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • HHN
    Hs Nueroscience E
  • $21.75
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

No Analysis added

People owning HHN also tend to own: AIGCAGCPSIDBVDLTRDVEBIX

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • HHB
    Healthshares Pati
  • $21.24
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

No Analysis added

People owning HHB also tend to own: EEBILFAIGCAGCPSIDBVDLTR

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

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Start Price

Return Value

Start Date
UUP 24.79 +1.45% Mar 31st
AIG 67.22 -97.41% Mar 31st
RTN 52.46 -1.28% Mar 31st
SGK 18.11 -37.49% Mar 31st
T 39.43 -28.23% Mar 31st
RIG 81.70 -30.33% Mar 31st
HHJ 24.55 -36.70% Mar 31st
HHN 25.91 -16.06% Mar 31st
HHB 26.70 -20.45% Mar 31st
CAG 24.91 -32.60% Mar 31st
DLTR 38.24 +3.74% Mar 31st
SBUX 31.36 -67.41% Mar 31st
PG 63.16 -1.57% Mar 31st
SDS 58.34 +12.62% Mar 31st
SKF 75.30 +35.43% Mar 31st
SIJ 68.18 -28.13% Mar 31st
STRA 125.00 +52.72% Mar 31st
DV 29.35 +78.02% Mar 31st
CPSI 26.82 +1.57% Mar 31st
SSP 44.68 -94.90% Mar 31st
FMCN 78.46 -87.13% Mar 31st
NYT 23.51 -67.25% Mar 31st
GCI 56.29 -83.48% Mar 31st
OMC 102.38 -72.56% Mar 31st
MHP 62.88 -59.46% Mar 31st
EMT 14.57 ------ Mar 31st
DBV 26.97 -24.66% Mar 31st
KR 28.25 -10.23% Mar 31st
HLTH 15.13 -33.38% Mar 31st
IBM 94.26 -5.34% Mar 31st
WAG 45.89 -41.80% Mar 31st
PEP 63.56 -12.37% Mar 31st
HINT 7.41 ------ Apr 16th
REFR 12.58 -81.00% Apr 16th
INSW 3.31 -26.89% Apr 17th
EBIX 33.00 -28.55% Apr 17th

Average return:

 -22.46%

Success rate:

 20.59%

Deleted Stocks:
KRO 32.41 0.00% Mar 31st
PRAA 44.65 0.00% Mar 31st
ADST 2.38 ------ Mar 31st
ACTG 15.82 0.00% Mar 31st
GDLN.OB 1.10 ------ Mar 31st
NTSC 6.07 0.00% Mar 31st
PTSX 3.58 0.00% Mar 31st
GNPI.OB 2.93 ------ Mar 31st
DAGM 1.62 ------ Mar 31st
PRM 2.66 0.00% Mar 31st
PED 4.71 0.00% Mar 31st
WLDN 9.39 0.00% Mar 31st
FPTI.OB 9.00 ------ Mar 31st
ITOU.OB 0.08 ------ Mar 31st
SWMX.OB 0.85 ------ Mar 31st

Hated Stocks:
KBR 21.90 -24.70% Apr 16th

Tracking Started: 03-31-2007

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