Barron's Summary 10-03-2009
3384 views
Rate Now: 1 2 3 4

average rating: 0.00 / 0 ratings
Created by barrons3
DESCRIPTION:

Date updated:10-04-2009

Summary of the bullish and bearish positions mentioned in the October 3rd, 2009 Barron's.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • STAN.L
    Standard Chartere
  • $1612.9999
  • -0.68%
  • $1624.00

StanChart shares could rise as much as 30% in the next year, if the company can take advantage of its fast-growing developing-markets base and its solid balance sheet.

People owning STAN.L also tend to own: BCLN.PKCJGH.PKCNTFCOPI.OBCPSTDSTIDWSN

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • BTU
    Peabody Energy Co
  • $45.39
  • -1.24%
  • $45.17

Peabody's stock could double to about 70 in the next few years as the global economy improves and coal demand rises.

People owning BTU also tend to own: ACIAINVANRAPCBBDCHKCMCSK

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • AGO
    Assured Guaranty
  • $24.58
  • -1.72%
  • $24.66

Assured (AGO), with a market value of $2.85 billion, did dabble like its peers in guarantees of other "structured securities" products backed by what turned out to be dodgy mortgage paper. But the company was far more conservative in its underwriting standards, demanding what is known in insurance parlance as higher attachment points on its policies. This meant that any securitization it insured would have to shoulder, say, losses up to 40% of the value of the portfolio before Assured was on the hook for its first dollar of claims. As a result of all of this, Assured's stock has rallied some 60% from the start of the year, to a recent 18. But the stock could still have a long way to go. In fact, based on the combined earnings power of Assured and FSA -- the merged company could earn nearly $950 million a year, or more than $6 a share, in a normal year, versus $2 or so this year -- the shares could ultimately double or even triple.

People owning AGO also tend to own: ABDAFFMAIZALJAMPATLSBDE

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • STE
    Steris Corp
  • $31.83
  • -0.87%
  • $32.22

Steris has rallied almost 54% to a recent 30, since early March. The stock could keep climbing to 40 as capital spending revives and the company's earnings grow.

People owning STE also tend to own: ETGEMSFTTWXWNRALXNBLUD

TheStreet.com Rating: A- What is this?

  • +
  • AVII
    Avi Biopharma
  • $1.46
  • -5.81%
  • $1.54

If AVI's drug for the worst form of muscular dystrophy moves toward FDA approval, the stock could surge. The company also may become an acquisition target for Big Pharma.

People owning AVII also tend to own: FNSRRMIXADBEADMIVANNGASPEIX

TheStreet.com Rating: D- What is this?

  • +
  • YUM
    Yum Brands Inc
  • $35.73
  • +0.22%
  • $35.51

As the bottom-feeders of the culinary world, fast-food restaurants are susceptible to unemployment, and Yum investors are especially sensitive to any faltering in China. Thankfully, expectations are low, with analysts bracing for flat Chinese sales and single-digit U.S. declines. With the help of benign food costs and cooperative exchange rates, results might prove better than expected. Bucking the corporate trend, Yum! also nudged its dividend up 11% -- to $0.84 a year, for a 2.5% yield -- and it plans to buy back $300 million worth of stock. At about 33, "shares reflect either an unjustified China discount or an overly conservative outlook," says Credit Suisse analyst Keith Siegner. The stock trades at 14.1 times 2010 earnings -- merely in line with the restaurant sector and below multiples of 19 times for Wendy's (WEN) and 22 times for Starbucks (SBUX). Siegner thinks Yum's "international footprint and ongoing reallocation of capital from low-growth to high-return regions justify a premium to its peer group," and pegs the stock at 17 times his forward estimate, or 41.

People owning YUM also tend to own: AESCKHCTRPDRHEBAYENSLFBG.OB

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • KO
    Coca Cola Co The
  • $57.48
  • +1.05%
  • $56.69

We're still bullish on Coke, which could rise to the low $60s in a year. The stock yields 3%. Emerging markets represent 15% of Coca-Cola's sales volume, but have produced 25% of the company's growth over the past three years. (Latin America, where the company has long had a strong presence, isn't included in that emerging-markets number.) Sales in India are growing at 33% annually, albeit from a small base. Improved distribution and strong local brands are helping to drive that growth. Coke looks pretty cheap. At 16 times 2010 earnings estimates, it trades at a modest premium to the S&P 500. Over the past 10 years, the premium has averaged 26%. At a 20% premium, the stock would be worth $62. Coke probably will grow earnings at a high-single-digit rate over time; a weaker dollar could lift profit growth higher in the near term. If Coke's share price and dividend rises in line with earnings, investors will get a 12% annual return over time. We wrote our first Alert on Coke in May 2008, when the shares were $56.50. They're down 5% since then, while the market is off 26%. The market is likely to remain volatile but the long-term trend is up. Coke's shares will be less volatile, and their longterm trend could be up even more.

People owning KO also tend to own: AAAIGIBMINTCJNJJPMMSFT

TheStreet.com Rating: No Rating What is this?

  • +
  • CVC
    Cablevision Syste
  • $25.60
  • -0.85%
  • $25.67

In a careful but necessarily conjectural sum-of-parts estimate, Bernstein Research analyst Craig Moffett figures MSG is worth $2.8 billion, $9 per Cablevision share, based mostly on the cable sports network's earnings, a prospective value of the Knicks and New York Rangers and the real estate held. The remaining Cablevision businesses -- a more familiar mix of cable and other media assets -- are worth a bit more than $18 per Cablevision share, says Moffett, for a consolidated value of around $28. That's more than 20% above Cablevision's last-trade price of $22.64. By these lights, Cablevision looks like a low-risk Buy. The trick is that MSG might not trade up to that implied asset value, especially given that almost no one owns Cablevision for the Knicks and the Rockettes. As Moffett points out, while the MSG assets (the building, the teams, the network) have substantial hypothetical value, they are unlikely to be sold soon. The most desirable scenario might be for the noise surrounding MSG to further soften up Cablevision's share price. Yet with the stock down 10% since mid-September, it's getting into a zone where it looks attractive even without making optimistic assumptions about where MSG will trade.

People owning CVC also tend to own: AAPLADIAMDBRCMCSCOGOOGMOT

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

previous next

Portfolio not tracked!

Comments not available

ADD YOUR COMMENTS:

Cramer's Take on Headline Stocks...

Not a Stockpickr member? Join the community today -- for free.Regardless of why a stock is in the news, it never hurts to hear what a professional investor has to say about...

11.20.09 | 11:48 AM
Jim Cramer's Portfolios of the Week

By Roberto Pedone Posted on Nov. 20, 2009 According to Jim Cramer, options expiration is driving the current market selloff. He pointed out that the only stocks that we...

11.20.09 | 08:09 AM
'Fast Money' Portfolios of the Week

By Roberto Pedone Posted on Nov. 19, 2009 According to CNBC’s “Fast Money” traders, the stock market is showing no signs of stopping its current bull run. Joe Ter...

11.19.09 | 11:13 AM
Squeezing the Shorts: Earnings G...

By Jonas Elmerraji Posted on Nov. 18, 2009 There are plenty of reasons for stocks to have the attention of short-sellers. Waning financials, a deteriorating business mo...

11.18.09 | 12:36 PM
more articles
General market Technical Analysi...
11.14.07 | 22:55 PM From author ZA
What happened to SPRD this week?
11.21.09 | 19:28 PM From author xdhong
The Presidential/Political Thread
01.02.08 | 08:05 AM From author Dave Cox
more forums
Q. If Goldman Sachs is stupid, what...
11.21.09 | 17:17 PM Asked by Clementplace

A. Here's another one:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/173986-s
hipping-three-high-risk-high-reward-opti
ons

Also, DSX, for instance moved up after
hours.

It might depend on your timeframe. The
related indexes appear to be trending
up. (this is not a recommendation).

today 's lists
52-Week Highs

Here are some of the biggest stocks that made the 52-week high list on Nov. 20, 2009. more

Biggest % Gainers

Here are some of the largest % gainers from Nov. 20, 2009. more

Rising on Unusual Volume

Here are some stocks that moved up on unusual volume on Nov. 19, 2009. more