Barron's MLP Candidates 6-11-07
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Date updated:06-09-2007

From Barron's 6-11-07:

"It sounds too good to be true: pay a reasonable price for an asset that delivers juicy, tax-deferred yields, in a sexy sector, with the possibility of skyrocketing price appreciation.

This is the glitter of publicly traded master limited partnerships in the energy business -- and lately they have proven to be true gushers. Many have paid out dividends of 6% in the past year and appreciated about 30%. But now, with the market looking toppy -- an index of 50 MLPs is up nearly 100% in the past five years -- it's time for investors to get more selective.

While many of the energy partnerships have been created for companies in the pipeline business, outfits specializing in exploration and production are starting to get into the act and may offer better value. The best play of all could be the stocks of smaller exploration and production outfits that might benefit from spinning off some of their assets as MLPs."

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • FST
    Forest Oil Cp (ne
  • $23.73
  • 0.00%
  • $N/A

From Barron's 6-11-07: "In the limited partnership market, a company's daily energy production usually is valued at about $200,000 per barrel. But Forest Oil's production is valued at just $60,000 per barrel. That creates the opportunity for "significant valuation arbitrage," says Yang. Colorado-based Forest, with a market value of $2.5 billion, could seize that opportunity by selling off certain assets into an MLP. Yang figures that the company's shares would rise by $8 apiece, or 20%, if it created an MLP for its Permian Basin fields in West Texas. That gain assumes the company would not only reap proceeds from the sale, but also retain an interest in the partnership and benefit from appreciation. Forest has said it will consider MLPs as a way to create value, though it hasn't announced specific plans. Even if the company doesn't proceed with an MLP, it faces good prospects: Analysts see earnings rising 15% in 2008."

People owning FST also tend to own: ACAAPACALMGLDDNBGNXYSYNX

TheStreet.com Rating: D What is this?

  • +
  • PXD
    Pioneer Natural R
  • $44.27
  • +1.49%
  • $43.66

From Barron's 6-11-07: "With a market value of $6.2 billion, may put as much as $500 million of assets into master limited partnerships over the coming year. And that may be only a start: The investment firm Friedman, Billings, Ramsey figures that more than 90% of Pioneer's assets would be ideal for MLPs. With a significant ownership stake in future partnerships, Texas-based Pioneer could see its shares climb 40%, Friedman Billings calculates. Even without the partnerships, analysts see Pioneer's earnings rising 18% in 2008. Pioneer has said that one asset it plans to place in a partnership is its Spraberry oil and gas field in West Texas. In an MLP, the reserves in that field likely would have double the value they'd be accorded under a traditional corporate umbrella, according to Citigroup. "If investors get in during the early part of the U.S. MLP-creation cycle, they have the opportunity to profit," says Robert Gillon, an analyst at the energy research firm John S. Herold."

People owning PXD also tend to own: EOGEPLPPPPWIXTOAMLJ.OBAXK

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

  • +
  • KMP
    Kinder Morgan Ene
  • $60.17
  • +0.80%
  • $60.04

From Barron's 6-11-07: "KMP, which has a sizable market value of $12 billion and boasts a 6% yield. The company's businesses are largely fee-oriented, ranging from services it provides to pipelines it controls, making its yield more reliable should oil prices drop. The partnership trades at a below-average 13.4 multiple of enterprise value (market cap plus net debt) to-Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, a measure of cash flow). Eaton Vance recommends it to the firm's private clients because a number of Kinder Morgan's pipeline investments should support growth in cash flow and yield in the future, including a major natural-gas pipeline under construction from Colorado to the Midwest, says Charles Gaffneysays Charles Gaffney, an energy analyst at the firm."

People owning KMP also tend to own: DMLPEEPKYEPAATRUARXTCALP

TheStreet.com Rating: B- What is this?

  • +
  • TYG
    Tortoise Energy I
  • $29.54
  • +5.09%
  • $28.28

From Barron's 6-11-07: "TYG invests primarily in energy MLPs and yields roughly 5%. While the fund isn't cheap -- it trades at a 9% premium to its net asset value, according to ETFConnect.com -- it offers broad exposure. In the past year, it's outpaced the Alerian MLP Index, a measure of 50 prominent energy partnerships."

People owning TYG also tend to own: BPTCOHDBAEVEPEWDEWMEWT

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