Date updated:08-04-2007
From Barron's 8-6-07:
"Of all the poeple we interview, David Richards strikes the deepest chord with readers. His interviews seem to be the ones that get tacked to walls or saved in a desk drawer, treasures of insight and wisdom. People who have benefited from his calls on gold (2002) and energy (2004) or just plain enjoy hearing a smart man put the global economy in perspective ring us asking whether we plan to talk to him again. His time running public money at two respected firms, Primecap Management and Capital Research & Management, may be over, but he still puts in long days of research and travel, particularly as a member of the Rand Corporation's Center for Middle East Public Policy advisory board. During a conversation in his Deer Isle Maine barn looking out to the waters of near Penobscot Bay, we found him most bullish, excited by the cheap valuations on many big-cap U.S. stocks with extensive international operations."
From David Richards:
"My position has changed enormously from what it was last summer. For the first time since I first talked to you back in 2000, I have no shorts. I believe the growth potential of the international economy and the potential for higher rates of inflation are not fully appreciated in the current valuations of stocks and bonds. I am attracted especially to the big international stocks that have pristine balance sheets and generate cash, that are buying back their own stocks and will benefit from the global boom."

-
MSFT
Microsoft Corpora - $20.76
- +1.17%
- $20.78
From Barron's 8-6-07: David Richards' largest holding.

-
GE
Gen Electric Co - $16.86
- +1.38%
- $16.86
From Barron's 8-6-07: "General Electric [GE] is now my second-largest holding after Microsoft [MSFT]. I bought it in February when I decided to diversify my holdings from just oil and gold and Microsoft and Berkshire Hathaway [BRKA]. GE was selling at $34 to $35 a share. It is a question of valuation and it is a question of international exposure and it is a question of a strong financial balance sheet. It is also a question of [GE CEO Jeffrey] Immelt. I like Immelt. He has had about five years to clean up what he inherited. If he is not there, he is almost there. The earnings for '08 are going to be around $2.50 a share, and I bought the stock at 14 times earnings with a 3% yield. It now trades at 16 times. Given my outlook for the global economy, for a company of that quality with its participation in aircraft and locomotives and power plants and international finance, what is the risk at 16 times earnings?"

-
KO
Coca Cola Co The - $44.71
- -1.61%
- $45.70
From Barron's 8-6-07: "With Coca-Cola, the amount of its earnings that are coming out of the U.S. are between 25% and 30% and its unit case-volume growth around the world is often in double digits. Bottled drinks in many parts of the world are growing rapidly, and are considered luxury items. If you are worried about clean water in the world, Coke and Pepsi deliver clean water and their business is getting bigger. They probably can grow at 10% or 11%, maybe even 12%, in earnings. You can buy these companies at P/Es [price/earnings ratios] that you haven't seen for years, and at prices that probably existed back in 1998-'99. At these levels, they make very good long-term investments. They are not going to make you rich, but they are going to go up, and they are going to go up more than the returns you can get anywhere else."

-
PEP
Pepsico Inc - $55.70
- +0.18%
- $55.93
From Barron's 8-6-07: "If you are worried about clean water in the world, Coke and Pepsi deliver clean water and their business is getting bigger. They probably can grow at 10% or 11%, maybe even 12%, in earnings. You can buy these companies at P/Es [price/earnings ratios] that you haven't seen for years, and at prices that probably existed back in 1998-'99. At these levels, they make very good long-term investments. They are not going to make you rich, but they are going to go up, and they are going to go up more than the returns you can get anywhere else."

-
JNJ
Johnson And Johns - $59.69
- -0.60%
- $60.33
From Barron's 8-6-07: "I also like Johnson & Johnson [JNJ] and Eli Lilly [LLY]. The natural buyers of these big companies, the big pension funds, have abandoned them in favor of hedge funds, private equity, international investment and bond arbitrage. These companies are selling at 15 times earnings, when they used to sell at 25 to 30 times earnings."

-
LLY
Lilly Eli Co - $39.57
- +0.28%
- $39.64
From Barron's 8-6-07: "I also like Johnson & Johnson [JNJ] and Eli Lilly [LLY]. The natural buyers of these big companies, the big pension funds, have abandoned them in favor of hedge funds, private equity, international investment and bond arbitrage. These companies are selling at 15 times earnings, when they used to sell at 25 to 30 times earnings."

-
BP
Bp Plc - $49.05
- +0.04%
- $48.89
From Barron's 8-6-07: What oil companies do you like? "The two biggest are ConocoPhillips [COP] and BP. BP is attractive because it has lagged so much. ExxonMobil [XOM] and Chevron [CVX] are up 50% to 60% in the last few years and BP [BP] is up 5% or 10%. It used to sell along with the rest of them.

-
COP
Conocophillips - $55.68
- +0.38%
- $56.53
From Barron's 8-6-07: What oil companies do you like? "The two biggest are ConocoPhillips [COP] and BP. BP is attractive because it has lagged so much. ExxonMobil [XOM] and Chevron [CVX] are up 50% to 60% in the last few years and BP [BP] is up 5% or 10%. It used to sell along with the rest of them.
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A. agree with mike, if you are new to
investing the market the best think you
can do right now is watch. The market
is not cheap in any way right now other
than the comparsion of where it just was
over a year ago. The market and economy
are going to a lot longer than what most
people think to become stable let alone
recover.
A. small trading before thrusday
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