Barron's Advertising Winners
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Date updated:09-12-2009

Finally, the advertising market looks to be bottoming. Some surprising winners may emerge as the recovery begins.

symbol name last price % change open
  • +
  • DISCA
    Discovery Communi
  • $31.16
  • +0.13%
  • $31.22

Discovery Communications is also a standout, notable for its reality shows like the Deadliest Catch series and Animal Planet. It has been able to offer programming that attracts advertisers, and it's posted revenue growth in a tough environment, a feat credited to its highly respected ad honcho, Joe Abruzzese, whom Discovery lured away from CBS Television Networks in 2002.

People owning DISCA also tend to own: BVFLBTYALBTYKLCAPALINTAMTEXPE

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • CVC
    Cablevision Syste
  • $25.60
  • -0.85%
  • $25.67

In the five years through 2013, Veronis Suhler projects that spending on alternative advertising will post a compounded annual growth rate of 12.3% and expand its market share of all ad spending to 32.3% from just 5.9% five years ago. Traditional advertising, on the other hand, will show a compounded annual decline of 3.3%, bringing spending levels below where they stood in 1997. In this environment, the winners are likely to be companies along the lines of Salesforce.com (CRM) with its expertise in customer-relationship management, cable outfits such as Discovery Communications (DISCA) and Cablevision (CVC), media companies such as Time Warner (TWX), Viacom (VIA.B) and Disney (DIS), and search engines such as Google (GOOG).

People owning CVC also tend to own: AAPLADIAMDBRCMCSCOGOOGMOT

TheStreet.com Rating: C- What is this?

  • +
  • TWX
    Time Warner Inc N
  • $31.64
  • -2.04%
  • $32.19

Media companies rallied nicely Thursday after Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Wienkes raised his rating on the group to Attractive from Neutral, pointing out that advertising revenue at cable networks is expected to increase 6% from the level a year ago, as national advertising outpaces local advertising. Wienkes' favorite is Time Warner because of its HBO, TNT and TBS cable networks, which stand to gain from strength in national advertising. He noted, too, that Time Warner trades at a discount to the entertainment group.

People owning TWX also tend to own: CBSDISGOOGNWSVIAYHOODENN

TheStreet.com Rating: D+ What is this?

  • +
  • VIA
    Viacom Inc Cl A
  • $31.52
  • -2.35%
  • $31.98

National advertising is growing at the expense of local advertising, and Wieser cites entertainment companies with cable properties, such as Viacom, E.W. Scripps (SSP), Turner Networks and Discovery Communications as well-positioned to deliver specific audiences on a national level to meet advertisers' needs.

People owning VIA also tend to own: CBSDISGOOGNWSTWXYHOOAIG

TheStreet.com Rating: C+ What is this?

  • +
  • DIS
    Walt Disney-disne
  • $30.01
  • -0.66%
  • $30.07

In the five years through 2013, Veronis Suhler projects that spending on alternative advertising will post a compounded annual growth rate of 12.3% and expand its market share of all ad spending to 32.3% from just 5.9% five years ago. Traditional advertising, on the other hand, will show a compounded annual decline of 3.3%, bringing spending levels below where they stood in 1997. In this environment, the winners are likely to be companies along the lines of Salesforce.com (CRM) with its expertise in customer-relationship management, cable outfits such as Discovery Communications (DISCA) and Cablevision (CVC), media companies such as Time Warner (TWX), Viacom (VIA.B) and Disney (DIS), and search engines such as Google (GOOG).

People owning DIS also tend to own: CBSGOOGNWSTWXVIAYHOOAAPL

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • GOOG
    Google Inc.
  • $569.964
  • -0.53%
  • $569.99

In the five years through 2013, Veronis Suhler projects that spending on alternative advertising will post a compounded annual growth rate of 12.3% and expand its market share of all ad spending to 32.3% from just 5.9% five years ago. Traditional advertising, on the other hand, will show a compounded annual decline of 3.3%, bringing spending levels below where they stood in 1997. In this environment, the winners are likely to be companies along the lines of Salesforce.com (CRM) with its expertise in customer-relationship management, cable outfits such as Discovery Communications (DISCA) and Cablevision (CVC), media companies such as Time Warner (TWX), Viacom (VIA.B) and Disney (DIS), and search engines such as Google (GOOG).

People owning GOOG also tend to own: AAPLAMDCSCODELLIBMINTCMSFT

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • GOOG
    Google Inc.
  • $569.964
  • -0.53%
  • $569.99

In the five years through 2013, Veronis Suhler projects that spending on alternative advertising will post a compounded annual growth rate of 12.3% and expand its market share of all ad spending to 32.3% from just 5.9% five years ago. Traditional advertising, on the other hand, will show a compounded annual decline of 3.3%, bringing spending levels below where they stood in 1997. In this environment, the winners are likely to be companies along the lines of Salesforce.com (CRM) with its expertise in customer-relationship management, cable outfits such as Discovery Communications (DISCA) and Cablevision (CVC), media companies such as Time Warner (TWX), Viacom (VIA.B) and Disney (DIS), and search engines such as Google (GOOG).

People owning GOOG also tend to own: AAPLAMDCSCODELLIBMINTCMSFT

TheStreet.com Rating: B What is this?

  • +
  • IPG
    Interpublic Group
  • $6.83
  • +0.89%
  • $6.71

Ad agencies as a group, however, are reeling from both the changes in the industry and the severity of the global recession. Interpublic Group (IPG), WPP Group (WPP.UK), Omnicom Group (OMC) and Publicis (PUB.France) continue to restructure as a result of shrinking revenue and profits. While the worst may be over for the agencies, the environment is still risky enough that investors may be wise to focus on other segments of the ad world. As Larry Haverty, veteran retailing and entertainment analyst and manager of the Gabelli Global Multimedia Trust, puts it: "I'd prefer to bet on the companies selling stuff, rather than those specializing in the art of trying to sell stuff."

People owning IPG also tend to own: AEPAHRAUOBLSGMHONKEP

TheStreet.com Rating: C What is this?

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A. Here's another one:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/173986-s
hipping-three-high-risk-high-reward-opti
ons

Also, DSX, for instance moved up after
hours.

It might depend on your timeframe. The
related indexes appear to be trending
up. (this is not a recommendation).

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