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7 Value Stocks to Buy in Facebook's Wake - views
MILLBURN, N.J. (Stockpickr) -- Did it really surprise most people that Facebook (FB) sold its shares to the public in an IPO at hugely inflated valuations, only to watch the share price head south nearly immediately? Even after plummeting 25% from its initial offering price, the stock is selling for 15 times sales and 51 times earnings. Luckily for Facebook, the company has some cash and no debt, but its enterprise-value-to-free-cash-flow ratio is an exorbitant 37.
Maybe investors still think that Facebook can grow into its valuation. I chose to look elsewhere for good value.
In my quest for value, I sought out stocks with low price-to-sales ratios, low enterprise-value-to-sales ratios and low P/E ratios. I came up with a somewhat eclectic group of seven stocks that fit these criteria.
We all know that the refining business has been suffering lately, with crude oil prices on the rise and refining margins shrinking. Many refiners have closed down. However, over the past few weeks, crude oil prices have declined, the U.S. dollar has rallied, and costs have begun to decline.
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Despite problems in the industry, revenues for Western Refining (WNR) are expected to rise 10% in 2012 and 11% in 2013. The worst may be over in the refining industry, and Western Refining might provide some excellent value
Patterson UTI (PTEN) is a land-based specialty drilling services company operating in the southwest, Gulf of Mexico and Canada. The company’s stock sells at significantly lower price-earnings multiple compared with larger drilling peers such as Baker Hughes (BHI), with a P/E of 11; Helmerich & Payne (HP), with a P/E of 10; and Nabors (NBR), with a P/E of 14. Patterson also operates at a higher gross margin than those same competitors, with the exception of Helmerich & Payne.
When drilling picks up, and it will, Patterson-UTI is a compelling value investment.
Kulicke & Soffa
Kulicke & Soffa (KLIC) is a Singapore-based semiconductor capital equipment and tool company. The company has had a difficult year from an operational perspective; earnings per share are expected to decline 17%, and revenue is expected to decline 16%, for the year scheduled to end this September. Earnings and revenue are expected to stabilize in fiscal 2013.
Not only does Kulicke & Soffa have exceptionally low valuation ratios, but this $800 million market capitalization company has nearly $320 million in cash and equivalents net of long-term debt, all of which is currently payable. Thus, 40% of the stock price is in net cash.
Alaska Air Group
Investing in airlines has been a long-term losing proposition – that is, unless you have invested in Alaska Air Group (ALK), which operates both Alaska Airlines and Horizon Air. This regional airline has grown revenue and earnings per share every year since 2009. Unlike most of its peers, Alaska Air does not have an indebtedness problem; the company has sufficient amounts of cash and short-term investment to cover its long-term debt.
Earnings are expected to increase 19% in 2012 and 12% in 2013 on revenues increases of 8% in 2012 and 5% in 2013. The company is also using its free cash flow to repurchase stock.
With jet fuel prices finally having peaked, the company might find headwinds turning to tailwinds.
As of the most recently reported quarter, Alaska Air was one of Renaissance Technologies' top holdings.
Humana (HUM) is a health care insurance company that offers its services through employer plans, government-sponsored plans such as Medicare, and direct to individuals. In total, as of the end of 2011, the company had over 18 million members enrolled in its medical plans.
The company sells for a price-to-sales below the industry average and well below that of its largest competitors, including Aetna (AET), with a price-to-sales of 0.4; Cigna (CI), with a price-to-sales of 0.6; and United Health Group (UNH), with a price-to-sales of 0.6. Revenue is expected to rise 7% in 2012 and 9% in 2013.
Any clarity in the health care legislation, which is now in the hands of the U.S. Supreme Court, should work to the company and industry’s benefit.
Best Buy (BBY) is the largest consumer electronics retailer in the U.S. There is no doubt that this company has some problems to contend with over the last year. After CEO Brian Dunn was found to have participated in inappropriate relationships with another employee, he resigned from his position, and a new CEO, George Mikan III (of the basketball Mikan family), was installed as interim CEO.
The company and industry is struggling with tight-fisted consumers, lack of new must-have products, declining video and music disc sales and cheap Internet rivals. The key for Best Buy will be to downsize its operations and become more competitive with the e-tailers, which is not a feat beyond possibility.
The stock is hated, and any turnaround could convert sellers to buyers.
Best Buy was also featured recently in "5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now."
Tech Data (TECD) is a wholesale distributor of computer and technology products and peripherals. The company is expected to increase earnings by 115 in the current year and 7% next year. Sales are expected to decline this year, but that might be a result of strategic divestitures in South America.
The company has $400 million in cash net of long-term debt, which accounts for approximately 20% of the company’s market capitalization. The company has very strong cash flow, which was applied to the repayment of debt and stock repurchases.
To see these stocks in action, visit the 7 Value Stocks portfolio.
-- Written by Scott Rothbort in Millburn, N.J.
At the time of writing, author was short Facebook.
Scott Rothbort has over 25 years of experience in the financial services industry. He is the founder and president of LakeView Asset Management, a registered investment advisor specializing in customized separate account management for high net worth individuals. In addition, he is the founder of TheFinanceProfessor.com, an educational social networking site, and publisher of The LakeView Restaurant & Food Chain Report. Rothbort is also a professor of finance at Seton Hall University's Stillman School of Business.